Declines in large wildlife increase landscape-level prevalence of rodent-borne disease in Africa Hillary S. Younga,b,c, Rodolfo Dirzob,1, Kristofer M. Helgenc, Douglas J. McCauleya,b, Sarah A. Billeterd, Michael Y. Kosoyd, Lynn M. Osikowiczd, Daniel J. Salkelde,f, Truman P. Youngg, and Katharina Dittmarh aDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106; bDepartment of Biology and fWoods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305; cDivision of Mammals, National Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC 20013; dDivision of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, CO 80521; eDepartment of Biology, Colorado Sate University, Fort Collins, CO 80523; gDepartment of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA 95616; and hDepartment of Biological Sciences, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY 14260 Contributed by Rodolfo Dirzo, March 26, 2014 (sent for review December 10, 2013) Populations of large wildlife are declining on local and global scales. The impacts of this pulse of size-selective defaunation include cascading changes to smaller animals, particularly rodents, and alteration of many ecosystem processes and services, poten- tially involving changes to prevalence and transmission of zoo- notic disease. Understanding linkages between biodiversity loss and zoonotic disease is important for both public health and nature conservation programs, and has been a source of much recent scientific debate. In the case of rodent-borne zoonoses, there is strong conceptual support, but limited empirical evidence, for the hypothesis that defaunation, the loss of large wildlife, increases zoonotic disease risk by directly or indirectly releasing controls on rodent density. We tested this hypothesis by experi- mentally excluding large wildlife from a savanna ecosystem in East Africa, and examining changes in prevalence and abundance of Bartonella spp. infection in rodents and their flea vectors. We found no effect of wildlife removal on per capita prevalence of Bartonella infection in either rodents or fleas. However, because rodent and, consequently, flea abundance doubled following ex- perimental defaunation, the density of infected hosts and infected fleas was roughly twofold higher in sites where large wildlife was absent. Thus, defaunation represents an elevated risk in Bartonella transmission to humans (bartonellosis). Our results (i ) provide experimental evidence of large wildlife defaunation increasing landscape-level disease prevalence, (ii) highlight the importance of susceptible host regulation pathways and host/vector den- sity responses in biodiversity–disease relationships, and (iii) sug- gest that rodent-borne disease responses to large wildlife loss may represent an important context where this relationship is largely negative. Kenya | dilution effect We are in the midst of a global extinction crisis (1). Amongmammals, for which population trends are known, more than 50% of species are currently declining (2). The current pulse of global defaunation is widely recognized to be size- selective, with larger species exhibiting greater risks for popula- tion declines or extinctions (3–5). This bias derives from a variety of factors, including harvester preference for large-bodied species, expansive habitat requirements of these large species, and the fact that large animals typically have life history traits associated with slow population growth (e.g., low fertility, long generation time, later age of reproduction) (6, 7). Body size is also strongly correlated with functional roles (8), and large species thus often play functionally distinct and impactful roles in ecosystems (9). The systematic decline of large species, both herbivores and pred- ators, is thus often associated with pronounced effects on other aspects of community composition and structure (5, 10, 11), eco- system function (11), and even evolutionary trajectories (12). Recently, there has been growing interest in understanding what the effects of wildlife declines of this type may be for the emergence and prevalence of infectious zoonotic diseases, with active debate on both the direction and generality of diversity– disease relationships (13–18) and on the likely implications for human health (19, 20). Characterizing the nature of this re- lationship has broad significance. Zoonotic disease agents pres- ent a growing threat to global health. At least 60% of all human disease agents are zoonotic in origin (21), and mammals are the primary reservoir hosts for most known zoonotic diseases in humans (22, 23). The suggestion that anthropogenically driven wildlife declines may lead to increased disease risk in a landscape has thus generated a great deal of interest because it raises the possibility that conservation of intact natural landscapes may be an effective intervention strategy for mediating emerging threats to public health. Much of the research and debate on this re- lationship thus far has focused on the mechanism of transmission interference, or the process by which systematic changes in community richness (number of species), composition (identity of species), and host competence (the proportion of individuals of a species that can maintain and transmit infections) affects community competence and, ultimately, prevalence of pathogens (proportion of hosts infected) in a community, without neces- sarily changing the absolute abundance of susceptible hosts (individuals that can be infected by a pathogen) (15, 24, 25). The present study focuses primarily instead on a second, hitherto less explored pathway, susceptible host regulation, or the process by which biodiversity loss changes the abundance of susceptible hosts (26). Rodents are common reservoir hosts (long-term source hosts for a pathogen) for many human zoonotic pathogens, such as Borrelia burgdorferi (Lyme disease) (24), hantaviruses [hantavirus Significance Understanding the effects of biodiversity loss on zoonotic disease is of pressing importance to both conservation science and public health. This paper provides experimental evidence of increased landscape-level disease risk following declines in large wildlife, using the case study of the rodent-borne zoo- nosis, bartonellosis, in East Africa. This pattern is driven not by changes in community composition or diversity of hosts, as frequently proposed in other systems, but by increases in abundance of susceptible hosts following large mammal declines. Given that rodent increases following large wildlife declines appear to be a widespread pattern, we suggest this relationship is likely to be general. Author contributions: H.S.Y., R.D., K.M.H., D.J.M., and T.P.Y. designed research; H.S.Y., R.D., K.M.H., D.J.M., S.A.B., M.Y.K., L.M.O., D.J.S., and K.D. performed research; H.S.Y. and R.D. analyzed data; and H.S.Y., R.D., K.M.H., and D.J.M. wrote the paper. The authors declare no conflict of interest. Freely available online through the PNAS open access option. 1To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: rdirzo@stanford.edu. This article contains supporting information online at www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10. 1073/pnas.1404958111/-/DCSupplemental. 7036–7041 | PNAS | May 13, 2014 | vol. 111 | no. 19 www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1404958111 pulmonary syndrome (HPS)] (27), Yersinia pestis (plague) (28), and Bartonella (bartonellosis) (29). They are particularly im- portant hosts for flea-borne diseases, which are absent or low in prevalence in most larger wild animals, many of which do not carry fleas (30). A great deal of work in both the Lyme disease and HPS systems has documented relationships between host species richness, community composition, and prevalence of these pathogens (31, 32). Changes in susceptible host abundance would appear to be a particularly likely pathway by which wildlife loss and disturbance could affect rodent-borne disease risk. By contrast to larger-bodied mammals, rodents, particularly small- sized species (i.e., <500 g), are often relatively robust to human disturbance and many species live commensally with humans (33, 34). Due to their generally rapid reproductive rates and small home range sizes, populations can fluctuate dramatically over both small spatial and temporal scales, and in response to declines or removals of either rodent predators or rodent competitors, in- cluding large herbivores (35–37). Because both large predators and herbivores face a high risk of decline from human distur- bances (6, 10), susceptible host regulation may be a strong po- tential pathway by which wildlife loss can affect human disease risk. There is theoretical support and empirical evidence of a neg- ative correlation between large wildlife loss and increased ro- dent-borne disease risk (26, 27, 38). However, we largely lack experimental data that document if and how the cascading effects of large wildlife loss have an impact on rodent-borne zoonoses via susceptible host regulation. In this study, we look at the overall effects of declines in large wildlife, particularly large herbivores (>15 kg), on landscape-level risk for the rodent-borne pathogen Bartonella spp., known to affect human health nega- tively (bartonellosis) (29). Bartonella is a globally distributed, facultative intracellular bacterial parasite (Alphaproteobacteria) that is found in a wide variety of mammals, including humans and rodents. The identity and pathogenicity of many species of Bartonella to humans are unknown, particularly in Africa. However, many species, including several of the species detected in this study (e.g., Bartonella rochalimae, Bartonella grahamii, Bartonella elizabethae) are known or suspected to be human pathogens. Bartonella spp. infection is characterized by long- lasting intraerythrocytic, relapsing bacteremia that can induce pathology in multiple organ systems in humans (29). Although host specificity varies widely, many strains appear to have rodents as the primary reservoir hosts (39, 40). Bartonella also appears to be primarily vector-borne [although direct and ver- tical transmission, from parent to offspring, may also occur (40)], with fleas being confirmed vectors (41, 42). Bartonella is in- creasingly being recognized as a zoonotic disease with implica- tions for human and animal health (29). We conducted this work in a long-term and well-controlled, replicated large herbivore removal experiment based in central Kenya, the Kenya Long-Term Exclosure Experiment (KLEE) (43). Within this experimental setup, we examined the effects of large wildlife removal on four different metrics of Bartonella dis- ease risk: (i) the abundance of infected hosts (rodents), (ii) the prevalence of infection in these hosts, (iii) the abundance of in- fected vectors (fleas), and (iv) the infection prevalence in vectors. As research and debate continue to expand regarding the di- rection, magnitude, and generality of the relationship between biodiversity and disease, there is consensus that no single re- lationship is likely to be universal across pathogens and systems (15–18, 44, 45). Thus, to make knowledge on the diversity–dis- ease relationship useful to managers, policy makers, and scien- tists, research needs to focus on the following: (i) understanding the context (e.g., types of hosts, vectors, pathogens, disturbance) in which either positive or negative relationships are most likely and (ii) understanding the mechanisms by which these rela- tionships occur (19). Here, based on our results from infection prevalence of Bartonella spp. in rodents under experimental defaunation, we argue that the intersection of large wildlife de- cline and rodent-borne disease may provide a particularly likely context for negative diversity–disease relationships to be general. Additionally, we conclude that susceptible host regulation, rather than transmission interference, likely drives the relationship in this ecological context. Results Rodent and Flea Abundance. A total of 832 rodents, representing 11 species, were captured in five sampling periods in the KLEE (Fig. 1A). Treatments in which we simulated the loss of large wildlife demonstrated strong and consistent elevation (compared with control treatment) in total rodent density per unit area, despite pronounced seasonal variation in rodent abundance (Fig. S1; F1,4 = 54.9, P < 0.01). This pattern is quite robust across years and seasons, having been shown to persist in the KLEE for more than a decade despite large fluctuations in rainfall patterns (32, 35, 46). One species, Saccostomus mearnsi (Mearns’s pouched mouse), dominated capture rates in both exclosures and open plots, accounting for 75% of all captures. The same pattern of roughly doubled abundance in exclosure plots across time was observed when considering just S. mearnsi (Fig. 1B). There was no significant change observed in rodent diversity between con- trol and large mammal removal treatments (Fig. 2A; Shannon diversity index: F1,4 = 0.3, P = 0.6) and no significant change in overall community composition [analysis of similarity (ANOSIM): R = 0.30, P = 0.20]. There was also no significant difference in age or sex structure of populations between exclosure and con- trol plots (data not shown). Thus, for the rodent community, only abundance varied significantly among plots. Fleas comprised more than 95% of the total ectoparasites sampled from captured rodents, with only occasional lice or mites (Androlaelaps spp.) and no ticks observed. A total of 1,570 fleas were surveyed in this study. Flea diversity encompassed four genera. From the genus Xenopsylla, three species were iden- tified: Xenopsylla brasiliensis, Xenopsylla cheopis (aequisetosa), and Xenopsylla sarodes sarodes. Other species found were Dinopsyllus Fig. 1. Working in the KLEE, which examines the effect of large wildlife (e.g., zebra, giraffe, elephant, gazelle) removal (A), we found that S. mearnsi abundance was significantly higher (roughly double on average) in plots where large mammals had been removed compared with open plots (B) despite strong seasonal variability. (C) There was no significant difference in the intensity of infestation of fleas per rodent between treatments. (D) As a result, the density of fleas per hectare is significantly higher (roughly double) in plots without large wildlife. Error lines represent 1 SE, based on three replicate blocks. Data for all rodents are shown in Fig. S1. Photography credits: A, KLEE exclosure, D. Kimuyu (Equus quagga, Nanyuki, Kenya); Inset of flea in C and D X. sarodes sarodes (male), M. Hastriter and Michael Whiting, Monte L. Bean Museum, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT. Young et al. PNAS | May 13, 2014 | vol. 111 | no. 19 | 7037 EC OL OG Y lypusus, Parapulex echinatus, and Ctenophthalmus calceatus cabirus. More than 98% of all fleas were Xenopsylla spp. (Fig. S2), and there was no difference in flea diversity (F1,4 = 0.7, P = 0.5) or community composition between exclosure and control treat- ments (ANOSIM: R = 0.15, P = 0.4). Four of the six species of fleas found were present on S. mearnsi. Three of the species were found on multiple host species (all host flea associations are shown in Tables S1 and S2). S. mearnsi had much higher flea density than any other spe- cies, and this single species thus accounted for >95% of all fleas in both exclosure and control plots. Given the very low number of fleas from other species, and the lack of any differences in diversity or composition of hosts among treatments, all sub- sequent analyses were conducted using only S. mearnsi (data with all rodents are shown in Figs. S1 and S3). There was no signifi- cant difference in average abundance of fleas per individual rodent across treatments (Fig. 1C; F1,4 = 4.9, P = 0.09). How- ever, because of the increases in rodent abundance, there was more than a doubling (103 ± 23% increase) in total numbers of fleas per hectare (Fig. 1D; F1,4 = 27.7, P < 0.01). This abundance pattern was robust and persistent across years (47). Bartonella Prevalence. We measured Bartonella prevalence (pro- portion of individuals infected) in both the rodent host S. mearnsi and its fleas. A total of 157 S. mearnsi individuals were screened for Bartonella across the three time periods (94 in exclosures and 63 in open sites). BLAST analyses identified Bartonella genotypes related to the Sc-tr1 group (from Saccos- tomus campestris, South Africa) (48), the OY group (including B. rochalimae, B. grahamii, and B. elizabethae) (49), and several previously unidentified genotypes. Bartonella prevalence in hosts did not differ significantly be- tween treatments with and without wildlife (Fig. S3; F1,4 = 0.4, P = 0.55), although it did vary across sampling periods (Fig. S3; F2,3 = 14.6, P = 0.03). There was no significant treatment × time interaction (F2,3 = 3.7, P = 0.16). Likewise there was no signif- icant difference in the prevalence of Bartonella in the fleas sampled from S. mearnsi in control plots compared with wildlife exclosures (Fig. 3A; F1,4 = 0.6, P = 0.49) or any evidence of a treatment × time interaction (Fig. 3A; F2,3 = 2.2, P = 0.26). There was again variation by sampling period (F1,4 = 53.7, P = 0.01). In contrast to these results, the abundance of Bartonella- infected hosts varied strongly by treatment (Fig. 3B; F1,4 = 19.3, P = 0.01), with roughly twice as many infected hosts in plots where wildlife had been removed, due entirely to the higher density of rodent populations. There was both a sampling period effect (Fig. 3B; F2,3 = 283.2, P < 0.0001) and a time × treatment interaction (F2,3 = 55.3, P < 0.01). The abundance of infected fleas also varied by treatment (Fig. 3C; F1,4 = 10.7, P = 0.03) and by sampling period (F2,3 = 463.6, P < 0.001). When a time × treatment interaction effect occurred, the effects of treatment were stronger in sampling periods where rodent or vector abun- dance was higher. Discussion As large wildlife continues to decline globally, ecologists, con- servation scientists, and health practitioners are challenged to understand and interpret the implications of these changes for ecological communities and the people who inhabit these spaces. These results provide strong experimental evidence that the effects of differential loss of large wildlife can cascade to cause increases in the abundance of zoonotic pathogens across a land- scape, via an increase in the abundance of hosts and vectors. Fig. 2. (A) Rodent diversity (Shannon diversity index ± SE, across plots within a season) was not significantly different between treatments with and without large mammalian wildlife. (B) There were also no significant differences in community similarity between experimental plots (animals pooled across sampling seasons). Species codes are as follows: ACKE, Acomys kempi; AEKA, Aethomys kaiseri Arvicanthis niloticus; DEME, Dendromus melanotis; MANA, Mastomys natalensis; MUAC, Mus cf. acholi; MUMI, Mus minutoides; MUSO, Mus sorella; MUTE, Mus tenellus; SAME, S. mearnsi; ZEHI, Zelotomys hildegardeae. Fig. 3. There was no significant overall difference in the prevalence of Bartonella spp. infection either in the dominant rodent S. mearnsi or in the fleas of S. mearnsi (A) between control and large wildlife removal treat- ments. However, because of increased abundance of S. mearnsi in sites without large wildlife, there was a significant increase in the abundance of infected S. mearnsi (B) and infected vectors (C) in these simulated large wildlife loss treatments. Error lines represent 1 SE, based on three replicate blocks. Data is qualitatively similar when considering all rodents (Fig. S3). 7038 | www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1404958111 Young et al. Notably, the primary mechanism by which large wildlife loss appears to affect Bartonella risk in this system is through sus- ceptible host regulation. Although the effects of susceptible host regulation have been experimentally documented in plant sys- tems (50) and, for zoonotic diseases, have been suggested to result from fragmentation (24), this study is, to our knowledge, the first experimental demonstration of the phenomenon for a rodent-borne zoonosis. In this case, host regulation may be occurring due to both direct (competition) and indirect (vege- tation structural changes) effects of changes in abundance of large vertebrates (35, 51) rather than via changes in rodent predators (47), the interacting species more often considered (14, 38). Interestingly, we found no support that transmission inter- ference, as documented in other systems (52, 53), operates in this system. There were no significant changes in the diversity or composition of the rodent host community (or of flea commu- nities) between treatments. Given the much lower density of larger mammals relative to small mammals in this landscape, transmission interference is also not likely relevant when the whole mammal community is considered. There was also no change in the prevalence of Bartonella spp. in the dominant host, S. mearnsi, despite its much higher abundance in exclosures. Although increased prevalence is often seen when densities of competent hosts increase, this relationship is expected only when transmission is density-dependent. For pathogens with fre- quency-dependent transmission, effects of density of prevalence are not necessary unless contact rates change (54). Other studies of Bartonella have observed a similar lack of correlation between Bartonella prevalence and host population density (55), although positive and delayed relationships have also been observed (56, 57). Although it is theoretically possible that the increased number of infected fleas on rodents in defaunated landscapes could be offset by fewer fleas from the (absent) large wildlife, such an effect is highly unlikely. Most of the animals excluded are large ungulates, which, for ecological and evolutionary reasons, almost entirely lack fleas, particularly in the tropics of Africa [the currently known flea fauna on ungulates has a decidedly Hol- arctic or South Asian distribution (Vermipsyllidae and Ancistro- psyllidae, respectively)] (30, 58, 59). Although large carnivores do carry Pulex and Ctenocephalides fleas (not Xenoypsylla fleas), these large carnivores are at extremely low densities in the landscape and are just one of many host groups for these fleas (58). From a human risk perspective, the wild ungulates and large carnivores excluded in this study are also unlikely to in- teract closely with humans, making transmission less likely than rodent–human transmission. However, we expect that diseases transmitted by ectoparasites more common on ungulates than on rodents (e.g., predominantly tick-borne pathogens) will show very different, even inverted, responses (60, 61). The conclusion that wildlife decline causes a substantial in- crease in Bartonella risk assumes that abundance of infected hosts and vectors is the best metric of disease risk. Using per capita prevalence responses would have led to a conclusion of no effect. Clearly, the choice of prevalence metric can produce qualitatively different outcomes and emphasizes the importance of including infected host and vector abundance as a response metric (62). We suggest that per capita prevalence, sometimes used in the discussion of negative biodiversity relationships through transmission interference (24), may not be the most relevant metric to many real world disturbance–disease rela- tionships. In this case, for example, there would need to be a nearly 50% decrease in per capita prevalence to counter the amplifying effects of changes in host and vector abundance following defaunation. Although abundance of infected vectors is likely a better re- sponse metric than per capita prevalence, there are still many questions that need to be answered to assess if this change in abundance of infected vectors will translate to a proportionate increase in human disease in those anthropogenic settings. One set of questions revolves around patterns of human contact with these dominant S. mearnsi hosts. Although Bartonella spp. in- fected S. mearnsi were found in human habitations and in more disturbed agricultural or pastoral settings (SI Text), the presence of infected rodents is not itself sufficient for transmission. If humans do not interact closely with these rodents, disease transmission may be inconsequential regardless of changes in abundance. Likewise, if human behavior in defaunated habitats changes human–S. mearnsi contact patterns, the relationship between number of infected vectors and human risk will be nonlinear. However, because defaunation seems most likely to be associated with increased human contact rates (e.g., human presence is a cause of defaunation, humans are more willing to spend time in safer defaunated landscapes), we expect such changes would only exacerbate the effects of defaunation on transmission, rendering our conclusions of increased risk con- servative. There are also outstanding questions about human vector contact. The most common flea in this study, X. cheopis, is a known generalist that can feed on humans and effectively transfer other pathogens (58). Because fleas are also known to transmit Bartonella spp. to humans, it seems likely that fleas in this system will be able to transmit Bartonella spp. to humans. However, the effectiveness and frequency of X. cheopis or X. sarodes transmission of Bartonella spp. to humans remain un- determined. As with the transmission of most zoonotic patho- gens to humans, the relationship is likely to be complex and multifactorial. The density of infected vectors, although an im- portant and commonly used indicator of risk, remains an im- perfect metric for assessing true risk to humans. Explicit links to human health outcomes will be needed to demonstrate this connection fully. More generally, however, given the ubiquity of large wildlife loss; the pervasive and well-substantiated observations of rodent increases following such defaunation globally (35, 58, 63, 64); and the fact that rodents are one of the most frequent hosts of zoonotic diseases (65), particularly flea-borne diseases (58), these results suggest that size-selective animal loss may have a major impact on global risk of rodent-borne diseases. This study also adds to a growing body of evidence from both the Lyme and hantavirus systems that pathogen regulation through susceptible host regulation of rodent-borne diseases may be equally or more important than transmission interference in some cases (31, 38). We suggest susceptible host regulation may be an underappreciated ecological function of the pre- servation of intact mammalian communities. Further research on other rodent-borne pathogens, particularly with alternative transmission pathways (e.g., direct transmission) or with higher host specificity (66), will be critical to assessing the generality of our findings. Methods Study Site. This work was conducted between November 2009 and November 2011 in the Laikipia County of Kenya, at the Mpala Research Centre. To determine how the loss of large native wildlife influences disease risk, we conducted all sampling in the KLEE (0°17′ N, 36°52′ E) (43). Established in 1995, the KLEE uses a block design that includes three replicates of different types of wildlife exclosures. In this experiment, we used only the total exclosure sites, which effectively exclude all animals larger than 15 kg, and the control sites, which allow free access to all wildlife. Each experimental plot in the KLEE is 4 ha in size, but we sampled only the central hectare to avoid confounding edge effects. The KLEE is located on “black cotton” soil (nutrient-rich but poorly drained vertisols with high clay content) and set within an Acacia drepanolobium savanna-woodland. Mean annual rainfall at the KLEE site is ∼630 mm and is weakly trimodal. Resident large wildlife in the area includes elephants (Loxodonta africana), giraffes (Giraffa camelopardalis), zebras [Equus quagga Young et al. PNAS | May 13, 2014 | vol. 111 | no. 19 | 7039 EC OL OG Y (Equus burchellii ) and Equus grevyi], and lions (Panthera leo), among others (43). Rodent and Ectoparasite Sampling. Rodent trapping followed methodologies previously used in long-term monitoring of rodents in these plots. Briefly, in the inner hectare in each of the total exclosure (n = 3) and control (n = 3) plots, we set 100 Sherman traps, placed on a 10 × 10-m grid with 10-m spacing. Traps were baited every evening with peanut butter and oats for three consecutive nights. Trapping occurred in five sampling periods over a 2-y period: November 2009, March 2010, November 2010, March 2011, and November 2011. All captured rodents were identified to species (using morphological and genetic techniques), sexed, weighed, and marked. Rodent blood was collected onto Whatman paper. Animals were released at their capture sites. Due to low capture rates of some species, we assessed abundance of rodents per site per capture period simply as the minimum number of animals known to be alive, based on the number of unique individuals captured per site. Ectoparasites were sampled using a modification of protocols described by McCauley et al. (46). Essentially, the animal was held over a tub of ethanol and then combed for 10 strokes to provide an index of infestation intensity. All ectoparasites that fell into the tub or could be recovered from the flea comb were collected and counted. If an animal was subsequently captured again in the same 3-d trapping session, it was not sampled for fleas a second time. Ectoparasites were morphologically identified to species level. Bartonella Surveillance. Bartonella screening was conducted only for rodents captured in the first three trapping periods (n = 168 hosts screened). This screening included all rodents captured in November 2009 and March 2010; given the very high capture rate in November 2010, only a random sub- sampling (10%) of those rodents was screened. For each selected rodent host, we (i) screened the host blood for Bartonella and (ii) screened at least one flea from each animal if it had fleas. For the subset of hosts with mul- tiple fleas (n = 131), we also screened all remaining fleas individually from a randomly selected 30% of individuals (n = 373 fleas screened). Extraction, PCR screening, and analysis were conducted independently at two sites, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the University at Buffalo, The State University of New York. Protocols followed those detailed by Billeter et al. (67) for fleas and by Kosoy et al. (68) for rodent hosts. Individual fleas were titrated using a sterile needle, and DNA was extracted using a Qiagen QIAamp tissue kit. Fleas were screened for the presence of Bartonella DNA using protocols described by Billeter et al. (67), with primers targeting 767-bp and 357-bp fragments of the citrate synthase gene, gltA. PCR products were purified using the QIAquick PCR purification kit (Qiagen). DNA sequences were analyzed using Geneious R6-1 (Biomatters) and Lasergene version 8 (DNASTAR) software. Host prevalence of Bartonella was defined as the number of Bartonella- positive rodents (all Bartonella strains pooled) over the number of tested rodents. Vector prevalence of Bartonella was defined as the number of positive fleas over the total number of fleas screened per host, considering only the subset of data taken from hosts that both had fleas and where all fleas were screened. Abundance of infected hosts was defined as the product of total host abundance (minimum number known alive) and host prevalence of Bartonella. Abundance of infected vectors was defined as the product of host abundance, mean vector abundance per host, and vector prevalence of Bartonella. All metrics were calculated per site (three exclo- sures, three control sites) per sampling interval. For all rodent and flea analyses, we used factorial, repeated measures ANOVA. To compare species similarity across host and flea communities, we conducted ANOSIMs among treatments pooled across sampling periods. Reported values are mean ± SE unless otherwise noted. All analyses were conducted in R 2.12.1 (R Development Core Team, 2010). ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. We thank Cara Brook, Ralph Eckerlin, Jackson Ekadeli, Frederick Erii, Lauren Gillespie, Lauren Helgen, Ashley Hintz, Helen Kafka, Felicia Keesing, John Lochikuya, Margaret Kinnaird, Peter Lokeny, Darrin Lunde, Scott Miller, Mathew Namoni, Everlyn Ndinda, John Ososky, John Montenieri, Jack Silange, Michael Hastriter, and Michael Whiting for help in this project. Financial support for this project came from the James Smithson Fund of the Smithsonian Institution, the National Geographic Society, the National Science Foundation (Long Term Research in Environ- mental Biology Grants BSR-97-07477, 03-16402, 08-16453, 12-56034, DEB-09- 09670, and DEB-1213740), the Natural Sciences and Engineering Council of Canada, the African Elephant Program of the US Fish and Wildlife Service (Grant 98210-0-G563), the Woods Institute for the Environment, and the Smithsonian Institution Women’s Committee. Vector images were provided courtesy of the Integration and Application Network, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science (http://ian.umces.edu/imagelibrary). 1. Barnosky AD, et al. (2011) Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived? Nature 471(7336):51–57. 2. Schipper J, et al. (2008) The status of the world’s land and marine mammals: Diversity, threat, and knowledge. Science 322(5899):225–230. 3. 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(1997) Distribution, diversity, and host specificity of Bartonella in rodents from the Southeastern United States. Am J Trop Med Hyg 57(5):578–588. Young et al. PNAS | May 13, 2014 | vol. 111 | no. 19 | 7041 EC OL OG Y Supporting Information Young et al. 10.1073/pnas.1404958111 SI Text The applications of this study for human health depend on the assumptions that Saccostomus mearnsi individuals that interact closely with humans will also carry infected fleas capable of biting humans. Additional trapping conducted in human-domi- nated landscapes (homes, agricultural fields, and pastoral land- scapes) in nearby areas of Laikipia district during the time period of this study supports this conclusion. Of 25 S. mearnsi sampled in these anthropogenic landscapes, the mean flea density was 12.0 ± 10.4 fleas, which is well above the levels observed in the Kenya Long-Term Exclosure Experiment (KLEE). As in the KLEE sites, these fleas were primarily composed of Xenopsylla cheopis and Xenopsylla sarodes (94% of fleas); X. cheopis in particular are known to be generalists that bite humans and transmit pathogens. The fleas of S. mearnsi in human-dominated areas were also dominated by Xenopsylla spp. Of the 21 S. mearnsi from anthropogenic landscapes that were screened for Bartonella spp., 16 (76%) were positive for Bartonella spp., pre- dominantly of Bartonella elizabethae, a suspected human patho- gen. Of the 97 fleas from S. mearnsi from anthropogenic landscapes that were screened for Bartonella, 56% were positive for at least one strain of Bartonella. For the 18 fleas from S. mearnsi found specifically in human dwellings, 79% were pos- itive for at least one strain of Bartonella. Although detailed sur- veillance of Bartonella prevalence in human-dominated landscapes will be needed to assess direct human health outcomes, all initial surveillance suggests that the relevant host–vector pathogen re- lationships exist to make human transmission likely. Young et al. www.pnas.org/cgi/content/short/1404958111 1 of 3 Fig. S1. Examining all rodents and their fleas instead of only S. mearnsi does not qualitatively change the interpretations of effects of defaunation on rodent or flea abundance. (A) Abundance of all rodents was approximately twice as high in large wildlife exclosures compared with open plots, which is a significant difference. (B) Density of fleas per rodent did not vary among treatments. (C) Thus, the density of fleas per hectare is also significantly higher (approximately doubled) in plots where large wildlife has been removed. Error lines represent 1 SE, based on three replicate blocks. Fig. S2. Flea communities of S. mearnsi in both large wildlife exclosures and control sites (pooled) are dominated by two Xenopsylla species. Fleas in the Xenopsylla genus are competent vectors of Bartonella as well as other pathogens of relevance to human health (e.g., Yersinia pestis). Young et al. www.pnas.org/cgi/content/short/1404958111 2 of 3 Fig. S3. Prevalence of infection in S. mearnsi was not significantly different among treatments across seasons; however, there were significant differences in prevalence over time (as also observed in prevalence among fleas). The interaction effect was not significant. Error lines represent 1 SE based on three replicate blocks. Table S1. Average (±SD) number of hosts and fleas/host per site, pooled across all five sampling periods and three experimental blocks Individuals per hectare Fleas/host Species Exclosure Open Exclosure Open Acomys kempi 0.3 ± 0.6 1.3 ± 2.3 0 0 Aethomys kaiseri 0.3 ± 0.6 0 1.0 0 Arvicanthis niloticus 4.7 ± 3.5 0 1.9 ± 1.9 0 Dendromus melanotis 1.0 ± 1.7 1.3 ± 1.5 0 0 Mastomys natalensis 1.3 ± 0.6 0 0.3 ± 0.6 0 Mus minutoides 28.3 ± 16.3 17.7 ± 8.1 0 0 Mus cf. acholi 1.7 ± 2.9 1.0 ± 1.0 0 0 Mus sorella 3.3 ± 0.6 4.3 ± 3.8 0 0 Mus tenellus 0.3 ± 0.6 1.7 ± 0.6 0 0 Saccostomus mearnsi 143 ± 15.5 64.3 ± 17.4 2.2 ± 0.3 2.8 ± 0.9 Zelotomys hildegardeae 1.0 ± 0 0.33 ± 0.58 8 0 Table S2. Matrix of the presence of flea species (columns) found on each rodent host species (rows) Species Ctenophthalmus cabirus Parapulex echinatus Xenopsylla brasiliensis Xenopsylla cheopis Xenopsylla sarodes Dinopsyllus lypusus Acomys kempi X Aethomys kaiseri X Arvicanthis niloticus X X Mastomys natalensis X Saccostomus mearnsi X X X X Zelotomys hildegardeae X None of the species of Mus (Mus minutoides, Mus cf. acholi, Mus sorella, and Mus tenellus ) or Dendromus melanotis had fleas; therefore, they are not listed. Young et al. www.pnas.org/cgi/content/short/1404958111 3 of 3