FirstCite? e-publishing Use of diploid male frequency data as an indicator of pollinator decline Amro Zayed1*, David W. Roubik2 and Laurence Packer1 1Department of Biology, York University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3, Canada 2Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Box 2072, Balboa, Ancon, Republic of Panama *Author for correspondence (amro@torontodigital.com). Recd 10.08.03; Accptd 17.09.03; Online 31.10.03 Pollination deficits in agricultural and natural sys- tems are suggestive of large reductions in pollinator populations. However, actual declines are difficult to demonstrate using census data. Here, we show census data to be misleading because many abun- dant pollinators exhibit high levels of production of sterile diploid males usually found only in small inbred hymenopteran populations; Euglossa imperialis exhibits high levels of diploid male pro- duction induced by low effective population sizes (Ne  15), despite being the most abundant orchid bee in lowland tropical forests in Panama. We cau- tion that although some pollinators appear abundant on the basis of census data, their long-term persist- ence may be highly tenuous based on genetic evi- dence. We propose the use of diploid male frequency data as a metric for assessing the sustainability of bee populations. Keywords: pollinator decline; diploid males; Euglossini; Hymenoptera 1. INTRODUCTION Owing to their role in pollination, bees are crucial for the maintenance of terrestrial biodiversity and their conser- vation is thereby of prime importance (Kearns et al. 1998; Kevan 1999). Pollination deficits suggest that bees are undergoing large population reduction (Kevan & Phillips 2001); however, actual pollinator declines have been diffi- cult to demonstrate using census data (Roubik 2001; Williams et al. 2001, but see Frankie et al. 1997; Kevan et al. 1997). Because our ability to conserve pollinators depends on our ability to detect when their populations are at risk, developing accurate parameters to assess pol- linator declines is essential. Genetic parameters have the potential to indicate small populations at risk of extir- pation (Avise & Hamrick 1996; Petit et al. 1998). How- ever, their role in bee conservation remains largely unexplored as standard conservation genetic models are not directly applicable to haplodiploids (Packer & Owen 2001). One criterion that we show is ideal for detecting loss of genetic diversity in haplodiploids is the production of dip- loid males (Packer & Owen 2001; Zayed & Packer 2001). Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B (Suppl.) ? 2003 The Royal Society DOI 10.1098/rsbl.2003.0109 Diploid males arise from fertilized eggs homozygous at the sex determination locus, whereas heterozygotes develop into females, and hemizygotes into haploid males (Cook & Crozier 1995). Through their sterility or inviability (Stouthamer et al. 1992; Agoze et al. 1994), the pro- duction of diploid males is disadvantageous because it increases the genetic load and decreases reproductive fit- ness (Page 1980; Ross et al. 1993) and, in social species, increases colony mortality and decreases colony growth rates (Plowright & Pallett 1979; Ross & Fletcher 1986). However, natural populations usually maintain many alleles at the sex locus and thus diploid males occur at very low frequencies (Cook & Crozier 1995). The number of alleles at the sex locus is maintained at mutation-drift equilibrium, with larger populations maintaining more alleles than smaller ones (Yokoyama & Nei 1979). A study of Euglossine-orchid bees in Panama revealed that many species have unusually large numbers of diploid males, with frequencies ranging from 12% to 100% (Roubik et al. 1996). This is paradoxical considering that censuses indicate that orchid bees exist in large popu- lations (Roubik 2001). High frequencies of diploid males were not found in Brazilian orchid bees (Takahashi et al. 2001), prompting our research into the causes of such an unusual phenomenon in apparently healthy Panamanian bee populations. Here, we provide an explanation for this paradox. Through an extensive study of one species, Euglossa imperialis Cockerell, the most abundant orchid bee in lowland forest in Panama (Roubik 2001), we con- firm that there are indeed high levels of diploid males and that this results from small effective population sizes (Ne). We highlight the factors responsible for creating the large discrepancies between the census population size and Ne in this species, and discus the utility of data on the pro- duction of diploid males as indicators of the long-term viability of pollinator populations. 2. MATERIAL AND METHODS Euglossa imperialis males were collected using cineole and methyl salicylate baits (Ackerman 1983) during February 2002. Site sym- bols, names and sample sizes are: (A) Pipeline Road-40; (B) El Llano Carti Road-18; (C) Howard Airforce Base-32; (D) Fort Clayton-21; (E) Barro Colorado Island-93; (F) Cerro Jefe-41; (G) Fort Sherman- 60; (H) Madden Dam-11; (I) Cerro Campana-30; (J) Gigante Pen- insula-51; (K) Cerro Hoya-94; (L) Cuesta de Piedra-25; (M) Santa Rita Ridge-99; (N) Maria Chiquita-25; and (O) Rio Caimito-55. Genetic variation was assayed at the allozyme loci esterase (EST), hexokinase (HK) and phosphoglucomutase (PGM) following Packer & Owen (1990). The frequency of diploid males, , was esti- mated for each locus using maximum likelihood (Owen & Packer 1994). The effective number of alleles K was estimated given the expected frequency of haploids in a population h (with a 1 : 1 sex ratio; Peruquetti & Campos 1997) using the equation (derivation to be presented elsewhere) K = (1  h)(1   )/h. Single-locus estimates of  and K were averaged over loci to obtain population values. Ne was estimated in two ways, as follows. (i) Iteratively by fixing a mutation-drift model (Yokoyama & Nei 1979, eqn (30)) for the frequency of sex locus homozygotes given the average K estimated and assuming a mutation rate of u = 105. (ii) By regressing the log of pairwise geneflow (Nm), estimated from FST (Wright 1951) against the log of pairwise distance for all population pairs. Ne is equivalent to 10b, where b is the y-intercept of the isolation by distance plot (Slatkin 1993). We simulated diploid populations of equal sizes to those sampled based on male allele frequencies to esti- mate FST using FSTAT 2.9.3 (Goudet 1995). Average pairwise FST from 100 simulations was used to estimate Nm. Rates of heterozygosity loss by drift in ideal isolated populations were estimated following Crow & Kimura (1970). Populations were 03BL0243.S2 A. Zayed and others Assessing pollinator decline L (mono) Republic of Panama K (27%, 3) O (mono) I (mono) (b) B (52%, 1) G (25%, 4) J (52%, 1) N (35%, 2) F (mono)M (28%, 3) H (39%, 2) A (13%, 7) D (56%, 3) C (mono) E (16%, 7) (b)(a) Figure 1. (a) Map of Panama and (b) magnification of boxed section, showing sampling locations, average frequencies of males that are diploid , and the effective number of sex alleles K for Euglossa imperialis. Monomorphic populations are labelled ?(mono)?. classified as monomorphic if the frequency of the most common allele at all loci was greater than 95%. To estimate the census population size, we used data recorded dur- ing May 1980 to May 2000 (Roubik 2001). Because only males are attracted to the baits, the total population size is double the number of males observed, given a 1 : 1 sex ratio (Peruquetti & Campos 1997). 3. RESULTS Ten out of the 15 populations sampled were polymor- phic, with an average expected heterozygosity of Hexp = 0.257. The average proportion of males that are diploid  is 34.3% (ranging from 13% to over 50%), with a mean of only 3.1 sex alleles (figure 1). Using the mutation-drift model, we obtained an estimate of Ne = 23.1 individuals. The isolation by distance model provided an independent estimate of Ne = 7.3 individuals (95% CI = 3.5 ? 17), giving an average for the two esti- mates of only 15.2 individuals, representing ca. 5% of the average censused population size of 295. 4. DISCUSSION Populations of E. imperialis in Panama have unusually high frequencies of diploid males induced by chronically low Ne. Our finding of five monomorphic populations (figure 1), representing a third of the populations sampled, is consistent with low Ne and extreme loss of allelic diver- sity. Complete loss of heterozygosity from the average of Hexp = 0.257 found in polymorphic populations, occurs in 50 generations in an isolated population with Ne = 15.2, but requires 967 generations given the census population size. How can we reconcile our low estimates of Ne with the high census estimates for E. imperialis? First, population sizes of orchid bees in Panama vary dramatically over time (Roubik 2001) and Ne is bound by the lowest census size in a series of fluctuations (Nunney & Elam 1994). Second, male reproductive suc- cess is influenced strongly by the complexity of the chemi- cal bouquets that they obtain from flowers, particularly rare orchids (Roubik 1998; Eltz et al. 1999). High variance in reproductive success, combined with overlapping gen- erations (Roubik 1989), considerably reduce Ne with respect to N (Felsenstein 1971; Crow & Denniston 1988). Also, census estimates are based on sampling both the Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B (Suppl.) Figure 2. Male orchid bees (species from the genuses Euglossa, Eulaema, Eufriesea and Exaerete are depicted in the above photograph) are easily censused using chemical baits. However, despite their apparent abundance based on census data, several species exhibit a genetic phenomenon prevalent in small haplodiploid populations: the production of sterile diploid males. Census data obtained from baiting greatly overestimate the effective population size of these important pollinators, and often lack sufficient power to detect pollinator declines. Photograph, D.W.R. and M. Guerra. haploid and the diploid males attracted to chemical baits (figure 2; Ackerman 1983), but sterile diploid males do not contribute to reproduction (Cook & Crozier 1995). Furthermore, since diploid males arise from fertilized eggs, they are failed attempts at female production, and their presence in large frequencies drains the population of females, which also reduces Ne (Crozier 1976). Taken in combination, these factors suggest why census data overestimate Ne by more than an order of magnitude. Finally, the dynamics of metapopulation extinction and recolonization, which can reduce the effective population size by several orders of magnitude (Gilpin 1991; McCau- ley 1993), might be responsible for the low effective popu- lation size of E. imperialis. Although it is generally believed that Euglossines are capable of long-range dispersal, based on their flight abilities (Roubik 1989), our study shows Assessing pollinator decline A. Zayed and others 03BL0243.S3 that gene flow is geographically restricted. Geographical variance in the number of sex alleles (figure 1) and expected heterozygosity across Panama, are consistent with a metapopulation structure with a few large source populations and many small sink populations. Orchid bees play a major role in neotropical ecosystems. The males are the sole pollinators of several hundred spec- ies of orchids, and females pollinate many trees, shrubs and vines (Ramirez et al. 2002). Small Ne, as shown for E. imperialis, is probably occurring in other Panamanian orchid bees, several of which have even higher estimates of production of diploid males (Roubik et al. 1996). Sig- nificantly, many of our sample sites lie in protected forests, some of which are over 10 000 ha in area. The long-term persistence of these bees is unlikely simply on genetic grounds (Saccheri et al. 1998; Westemeier et al. 1998; Higgins & Lynch 2001), and indeed, E. imperialis popu- lations, although apparently large, are declining even in extensively protected forests (Roubik 2001). Our findings have far-reaching implications for the con- servation of the Hymenoptera. First, the frequency of dip- loid males is a sensitive indicator of genetic diversity and its loss. Baseline data on  and K for native bee species should be compiled to facilitate future population moni- toring. Second, the conservation status of hymenopteran populations should be addressed with genetic data, as assessments based solely on census data can be mislead- ing. Additionally, high temporal variability in censused abundance of tropical and temperate pollinators impedes the detection of meaningful trends (Roubik 2001; Williams et al. 2001). 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