^^ Biodiversity and Conservation 13: 709?732, 2004. ? 2004 Kluwer Academic Publishers. Printed in the Netherlands. Discriminatory power of different arthropod data sets for the biological monitoring of anthropogenic disturbance in tropical forests YVES BASSET'*, JACQUES F. MAVOUNGOU^ JEAN BRUNO MIKISSA', OLIVIER MISSA\ SCOTT E. MILLER', ROGER L. KITCHING' and ALFONSO ALONSO' Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Apartado 2072, Balboa, Ancon, Panama City, Republic of Panama; 'Institut de Recherche en Ecologie Tropicale I.R.E.TICEN AREST, B.P. 13354, Libreville, Gabon; Ecole Nationale des Eaux et For?ts, B.P. 3960, Libreville, Gabon; Australian School of Environmental Studies, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4111, Australia; Department of Systematic Biology, National Museum of Natural Histoiy, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC 20560-0105, USA; Cooperative Research Centre for Tropical Rainforest Ecology and Management, Australian School of Environmental Studies, Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD 4111, Australia; Smithsonian Institution!Monitoring and Assessment of Biodiversity Program, 1100 Jefferson Drive, SW. Suite 3123, Washington, DC 20560-0705, USA; ' Author for correspondence (e-mail: bassety@tivoli.si.edu; fax: -I-507-212-. Received 6 June 2002; accepted in revised form 24 February 2003 Key words: Guilds, Parataxonomists, Predictor sets, Rarity, Taxonomic resolution Abstract. Arthropods were monitored by local parataxonomists at 12 sites of increasing anthropogenic disturbance (old and young secondary forests, savanna and cultivated gardens) at Gamba, Gabon. We report on the discriminatory power of different data sets with regard to the classification of sites along the disturbance gradient, using preliminary data accounting for 13 surveys and 142425 arthropods collected by Malaise, pitfall and yellow-pan traps. We compared the performance of different data sets. These were based upon ordinal, familial and guild composition, or upon 22 target taxa sorted to morphospecies and either considered in toto or grouped within different functional guilds. Finally we evaluated 'predictor sets' made up of a few families or other target taxa, selected on the basis of their indicator value index. Although the discriminatory power of data sets based on ordinal categories and guilds was low, that of target taxa belonging to chewers, parasitoids and predators was much higher. The data sets that best discriminated among sites of differing degrees of disturbance were the restricted sets of indicator families and target taxa. This validates the concept of predictor sets for species-rich tropical systems. Including or excluding rare taxa in the analyses did not alter these conclusions. We conclude that calibration studies similar to ours are needed elsewhere in the tropics and that this strategy will allow to devise a representative and efficient biotic index for the biological monitoring of terrestrial arthropod assemblages in the tropics. Introduction Since water pollution is often transient and unpredictable, biological monitoring may be more appropriate than traditional chemical evaluation of water quality to assess contamination of aquatic ecosystems (Gu?rold 2000). Plants, which are traditionally used as measures of habitats as well as disturbance in terrestrial 710 systems (e.g., Watt 1998), may be less useful than invertebrates for the biological monitoring of aquatic systems. This pragmatic reason has driven the development of community-level analyses of the effects of anthropogenic disturbance on inverte- brates in aquatic ecosystems (e.g., Clarke 1993; Rossaro and Pietrangelo 1993; Crowns et al. 1997; Thorne and Wilhams 1997; Cu?rold 2000). The effects of pollution on freshwater invertebrate communities can be calculated routinely as an 'index of biological integrity' (Karr 1991), and different statistical methods are available for the study of environmental impact on marine communities (Warwick 1993). In contrast, such recipes and consensus are almost non-existent for terrestrial arthropods, particularly in the tropics (see Urzelai et al. (2000) for nematodes and O'Connell et al. (1998) for birds). It is important to stress that the ultimate goal of deriving a biotic index based on terrestrial arthropods is to monitor the effects of anthropogenic disturbance per se on arthropods (Basset et al. 1998). Arthropods represent a substantial proportion of all terrestrial biodiversity and, accordingly, their responses to disturbance are important. Documenting which species reacts, and how, to varying disturbance levels is more significant than assessing and monitoring habitat quality, which is rather trivial and can easily be assessed by vegetation censuses alone (Watt 1998). The sheer number of arthropods, however, leads to major challenges in fulfilling this goal. Specifically, difficulties attendant upon the study of terrestrial arthropods include (a) the high diversity of terrestrial assemblages; (b) the high diversity and complexity of terrestrial habitats (McGeogh 1998), with concomitant logistical problems in sampling (Kitching et al. 2001); and (c) the taxonomic impediment (Kitching 1993a). By way of example, compare the 56 families of macrobenthos collected by Thorne and Williams (1997) at various locations in the tropics, with the 222 insect families encountered by Stork (1991) in a single event using insecticide fogging in the crowns of 10 Bornean trees. It is not surprising that most studies of anthropogenic disturbance on terrestrial invertebrates in the tropics focus on well-known, less speciose, taxa, usually restricted to the family level and to a specific feeding guild (e.g., Belshaw and Bolton 1993; Eggleton et al. 1996; Hill 1999; Intachat et al. 1999; Vasconcelos 1999; Davis et al. 2001; McCeogh 1998). This approach may be overly restrictive given the absence of any consensus on the appropriate choice of 'indicator' or 'umbrella' species, especially in the tropics (e.g.. Landres et al. 1988; Prendergast et al. 1993; Hammond 1994; Lawton et al. 1998; McGeogh 1998; Kotze and Samways 1999; Basset et al. 2001a; Moritz et al. 2001). Kitching (1993b) and Didham et al. (1996) have advocated the use of 'predictor sets' which comprise taxa representative of different functional groups ('guilds') as an alternative to the use of taxa selected on the basis of taxonomic tractability or familiarity (see also Collins and Thomas (1991) and Kremen et al. (1993) for similar arguments). Such 'predictor sets' are properly selected only following statistical analysis of a larger, more or less complete, data set including all taxa and the catches from several complementary sampling methods. Some studies have indeed widened their taxonomic focus to a whole order or a few families of different orders, thereby, often unintentionally, including representatives of different guilds (e.g.. Kremen 1992; Didham et al. 1998; 711 Kotze and Samways 1999; Chung et al. 2000; Kitching et al. 2000). Lawton et al. (1998) went further and included both invertebrate and vertebrate orders in their study of forest disturbance in Cameroon. They noted the huge effort necessary to implement such approaches ef?ciently. Recently, a novel approach that relies on the training and input of local parax- onomists has allowed the considerable widening of entomological investigations in the tropics (e.g., Janzen and Gauld 1997; Basset et al. 2000; Novotny et al. 2002). Properly used, this strategy yields higher numbers of statistical replicates that are, accordingly, more representative of the system studied (Basset et al. 2000). Adequate statistical replication represents a significant obstacle in conservation studies of highly complex environments, such as tropical rainforests. The paratax- onomist strategy employed in Guyana enabled us to achieve one of the first Before-After/Control-lmpact experiments, demonstrating unequivocally the in- fluence of selective logging on rainforest insects, despite the excessively low insect densities in the study system (Basset et al. 2001a). Presently, about 100000 valid species of insects are known from the Afrotropical region, but even conservative estimates, such as the scenario of Gaston and Hudson (1994), may see this number increase to about 600000 species (Miller and Rogo 2002). Basic ecological information on described species of Afrotropical arthropods is fragmentary and often relates to a few localities only. The level of availability of this information also varies greatly from one taxon to another. Gaps in knowledge are evident, even for well-studied taxa (Miller and Rogo 2002). Entomological studies in Gabon have been few and follow these trends. The few recent checklists available for higher taxa are restricted to groups that are not particularly speciose, such as Mantodea (Roy 1973); Haliplidae and Dytiscidae (Bilardo and Rocchi 2000); Lucanidae (Maes and Pauly 1998); Brentidae (Bar- tolozzi and Sforzi 1997); and Apoidea (Pauly 1998). There are no recent reviews of agricultural and timber pests in Gabon, although Coccoidea and, in particular, the cassava mealybug and its parasitoids, have been well studied (e.g., Boussienguet et al. 1991). Ecological studies are likewise infrequent and targeted at a few groups such as cockroaches, dung beetles, fig wasps, bees or ants (Walter 1987; Anstett et al. 1995; Grandcolas 1997; Roubik 1999; Wetterer et al. 1999). The need for baseline information on Gabonese arthropods is obvious. The work presented in this paper is part of a wider project aimed ultimately at providing baseline entomological data and the assessment of anthropogenic dis- turbance on local arthropod faunas within the Gamba Complex, Gabon. Arthropod activity is being monitored by trained and supervised local parataxonomists in four distinct habitats of increasing degrees of anthropogenic disturbance. The taxonomic scope of the material collected is large and includes representatives of several feeding guilds. The structure and scope of this project have few equivalents to date in tropical Africa. In the present report, we consider a preliminary (but by no means small) data set which we use to analyse the discriminatory power of different subsets of data (including orders, families and morphospecies representative of different feeding guilds) against the disturbance gradient. We explore the question of whether a few 712 ecologically selected taxa ('predictor sets') may be suitable for the biological monitoring of anthropogenic disturbance at Gamba, as surrogates for the entire local fauna. In doing so, we also evaluate the need to sort specimens to a specific level (as opposed to sorting the material to familial or ordinal levels) and examine the contribution of rare species to the discriminatory power of different data sets. Methods Study area and sites The study area was in the Shell-Gabon oil concession of Gamba, within the Gamba Complex of Protected Areas in southeastern Gabon (approximately 2?43' S, 10?r E, 25 m a.s.l.; see Thibault and Blaney (2001) and Doumenge et al. (2001) for background information about the area). The Gamba oil field includes a mosaic of old growth secondary rainforests, younger secondary rainforests and savanna areas. The latter result mainly from anthropogenic action. Primary rainforests are absent from the Gamba oil field, following the selective logging of Okoum? (Aucoumea klaineana Pierre), mostly over the past 20 years, but these forests are found elsewhere in the Gamba Complex. Botanical information about the area is available in Prins and Reitsma (1989). The mean annual temperature in the area is 26 ?C and annual rainfall ranges between 2000 and 2400 mm per year, with the major wet season from September to December (Prins and Reitsma 1989). The Gamba oil field has been active since 1967 and Gamba has grown from a small village in 1960 to a town of 8000 inhabitants (Bourgeais 2001). The earliest cultivated crop gardens of relative size were established near the town as recently as 1998 (see Bourgeais (2001) for a summary of environmental concerns in the Gamba Complex). We considered four distinct habitats of increasing anthropogenic disturbance (i.e., increasing forest clearing and introduction of exotic vegetation) and selected three sites (replicates) within each habitat. The four habitat types were: (a) the interior of old secondary rainforests, 'old forest'; (b) the edge of young secondary rainforests, 'young forest'; (c) area of rainforest cleared to install oil rigs and subsequently invaded by savanna, 'savanna'; and (d) cultivated crop gardens, 'gardens'. Differ- ences between these habitats were obvious and readily noticeable to a non-biologist. The main characteristics of the study sites (coded A-L) are indicated in Table 1. Sites G-H and 1 were abandoned and active oil wells, respectively. They were established in 1980, 1980 and 1968, respectively. There were no old or recent oil spills at these three sites and none was burned during the study period. As far as possible, sites were spread through the concession, within an area of approximately 13 X 11 km. The northwestern part of the concession, however, is more forested and, accordingly, most forest sites occurred there. The shortest distance between sites was ca. 600 m (sites B and G), whereas the longest distance between sites was ca. 15 km (sites A and F). 713 -o t2 3Q ?1 R, 'S-, a* < -5- 'I ? ?. m <-> ? =3 "I "S |3 I i % -? s % Q Q i S i a i ? o o i? o a a a a I -a" s a. S ? lu o s i=^ e " aj 5J ^ ?g W a -S- ?-" S -S ^ ^? a^ . o o T} PH QJ S is 1) aj i^ o ?a S ^ ?n ? s " s F^, < U u c/5 3 1 'Q-, s p- < O -J B ?3 o c < O "o a ?? Sr aj "u < oa ? o O O O ?I o o ^ w s IX ^ ?I o o o ^ m Q -J ^ ?^ Qj "^ & ?g- Q S c/5 ? y >. _rt o ?< O ?J M u s o ^ o o ^ ^ m o o o o ^"?ZZZZZZZ^ ?3 s ?3 i=l -O ? :3 < u I o ? ^ o o a. U c M i3 S 1 ?^ QJ T3 0 IH ?s 3 T3 a 1= t? QJ a 0 3 1 1 S 4 e 0 1= 1 QJ O t? QJ 'o QJ t? S S c3 3 ?a 1 (LT 1= t? 1 ? QJ t? ? 1 rt b ^ -o o ? ^ S 3 TJ u 'a 1 'DH ? 3 s t? 1 o s O H 1 ">. ^ 'a. 5? Cu QJ S t? Td s ffi t? 'QJ H 1 K) (U bo QJ" ^ rt >, o QJ -o J ?a ffi 1 1 ?& Cu rt x S 0 M 'sH 'o -a .y ^ 1 "o Q 1 S? cd ?3 1 .a a "o .2 'QJ !? < Q J t? Td 1 'i S? -o ^o ">. Td 'QJ 1 ?3 '5 J Td IS rt ?c Cu < -d Cu 1J Td 1 1 Q 'a. Td "rt ^ 1 'C & _o H < Cu o QJ" 4 ?a (LT 1 ?s 'o -o ?>! f? 't? O ?n < _0 (LT 1 1 3 T3 & < 3 U 'B QJ 1 e QJ 3 o rt QJ O Td 1 'o ?3 u 1 (U QJ 1 QJ o 1 CL J3 < ^ O .S3 & ^ o 0 \ QJ _0 s oo S "^^ 'S b" bo < 0 U 1^ rt Td t? aj l? o 'o QJ 1 0 e o U W 1 ? 724 3 -I (a) r = 0.29, p = 0.172 22 ?I (b) r = 0.45, p = 0.028 X^ 350 Number of taxa 700 350 700 Number of taxa Figure 4. Relationships between the number of taxa included in data sets and (a) the standard deviation of scores on Axis 1 of the DCA; and (b) /3-diversity. Although the standard deviations and ??-diversities of all data sets were sig- nificantly higher when including rare taxa than when excluding them (Wilcoxon signed-rank test, Z = 2.667, P = 0.008 and Z = 2.934, P = 0.003, respectively), this did not translate into a notably better classification of the sites along the disturbance gradient (comparison between Spearman's coefficients relating scores of Axis 1 of the DCA to habitats for data sets including and excluding rare taxa: Z = 0.921, P = 0.357). For the different data sets examined, the relationships between the number of taxa included in the analysis and the standard deviation of the DCA scores on Axis 1 or the calculated /3-diversity were not obvious and weak, respectively (Figure 4a and b; for the latter, the correlation was still weakly significant after removing the outlier, r = 0.42, P = 0.047). This suggests that the discriminatory power of the data sets was only marginally influenced by the number of taxa included in the data sets. Discussion Sampling protocol and methodological remarks Our protocol (as all others) did not enable us to collect all arthropod species present at the study sites. The canopy habitat of forested sites was not sampled and other sampling methods, such as light trapping, might have yielded a different fauna. Some target taxa, in particular, may well have been better sampled. In comparing the performance of smaller data sets we used the data matrix which included all target taxa as a surrogate for the entire arthropod fauna present at the study sites. This approach is necessarily simplistic. However, the taxonomic and functional scopes of these preliminary data were much broader than the taxon-based approach of most studies addressing the conservation of terrestrial invertebrates in the tropics 725 (cf. Introduction) and, as such, offer a stimulating viewpoint for commenting on the discriminatory power of different data sets. The present project also indicates that training of, and working with local parataxonomists (e.g.. Basset et al. 2000) is a promising strategy in the monitoring of invertebrates in tropical systems. Lawton et al. (1998) commented on the high costs involved with biodiversity surveys in tropical systems, but did not consider the advantages of training of local parataxonomists in their protocols. All of the traps used in this study have specific advantages and limitations, as discussed, for example, in Adis (1979) and Basset et al. (1997). In short, they measure the 'density activity' of relatively active arthropods. Sedentary arthropods are less likely to be collected and, thus, similarity measurements derived from our data are likely to be higher than if sedentary arthropods had been targeted. Several important guilds, such as ants, fungal-feeders, other predators and tourists, have not been analyzed in the present account. However, we note that, with the exception of fungal-feeders (Endomychidae, Corylophidae, Clambidae, etc.), few of these guilds are represented by the indicator families identified in Table 5. A potentially more severe problem with any guild analysis is the sensitivity of the guild assignment (Stork 1987). The taxonomic study of the material collected is ongoing, so that changes in the assignment of morphospecies may be expected. Factors such as better taxonomy, a wider spectrum of target taxa (including sedentary species) and additional collecting methods will contribute to a better differentiation among sites. Our measurement of similarity among sites should be regarded as conservative. Two observations are of particular note. First, many indicator taxa were added as a result of their occurrence in the garden habitat. This may reflect the higher catches in the gardens (i.e. the information on the garden fauna was higher than for other habitats) and also the very distinctive (i.e. weedy or invasive) fauna of gardens. Second, the species richness of gardens also appears superficially to be higher than in other habitats. This in turn may be explained by (a) the higher catches in gardens (i.e. rarefaction techniques will be needed to compare habitats); (b) the canopy habitat of forested sites was not surveyed and it may well account for a significant part of diversity, since faunal turnover between the understorey and the canopy is usually considerable (e.g.. Basset et al. 2001b); and (c) insects may be more seasonal in forests than in gardens and hence temporal turnover may account for a substantial amount of diversity in forested habitats. Taxonomic resolution of the data sets There has been much debate, especially related to aquatic systems, as to what taxonomic level (either family- or species-level) is most suited for biological monitoring (e.g., Gu?rold 2000; Lenat and Resh 2001). The consensus is that, whenever possible, sorting to species is better. However, in some conditions, sorting to families may be acceptable (Bailey et al. 2001; Lenat and Resh 2001). Not surprisingly, analyses using higher taxa appear to be better suited to studies at broader geographic scales (Hewlett 2000). The present report suggests that for 726 studies of terrestrial arthropods distributed along a disturbance gradient confined to a small geographical area, such as the Gamba oil concession, data sets based on orders or guilds achieve only a poor discrimination of sites. Ordinal signatures have been found useful for terrestrial invertebrates only when encompassing broad geographic areas, such as latitudinal transects (e.g., Kitching et al. 1993). Our family data sets, either including or excluding rare families, performed better than orders or guilds, but could not, for example, distinguish between sites situated in old and young secondary forests (Figure 1). However, filtering and retaining only indicator families resulted in a better discrimination of sites (Figure 3). This result is reassuring and suggests that counting the individuals within a set of a few arthropod families (n = 26 in our case) may be a possible strategy for biological monitoring of terrestrial systems in the tropics (cf. Kitching et al. 2000). This task can be performed easily by local parataxonomists trained beforehand, as in this study. The choice of indicator families may be guided by Table 5, for study systems similar to the present one. However, one must bear in mind that the indicator value of the families listed in Table 5 depended on collecting methods and on the regional species pool available. Further studies of similar scope evaluating other ecosystems in the tropics may eventually allow a consensus 'predictor set' to be reached. Nevertheless, the data sets based on morphospecies performed better than those based on any higher taxa. Our two most discriminating data sets were those which included all morphospecies sorted from target taxa, and from the concomitant restricted set of indicator target taxa. Sorting only the indicator families identified above to morphospecies represents an additional strategy for biological monitoring. However, the current taxonomy of some families listed in Table 5 is difficult or requires particular techniques (e.g., Aleyrodidae, Entomobryidae, Sciaridae, etc.). It is doubtful whether a good correspondence could ever be achieved between a set of indicator families and the availability of taxonomic expertise. Choice will ultimately always be influenced by taxonomic expertise. However, as the present analyses show, considering morphospecies belonging to different guilds (i.e. analyses with all target taxa) was a better strategy than considering morphospecies belonging to a particular guild, especially since no guild yielded indicator taxa for all habitats studied (Table 5). We suggest, therefore, that the choice of target taxa should be guided by (1) available taxonomic expertise, (2) the inclusion of representatives from different guilds, and (3) considering as priorities taxa belonging to the following guilds (Tables 4 and 5): chewers, parasitoids, predators and sap-suckers. We also note that including more taxa in the data sets does not ensure that these data sets will have greater discriminatory power (Figure 4). The quality and choice of the information included in the data sets are more important in this regard. The importance of rare species in the analyses This debate may be considered from either a statistical or biological viewpoint. We focus on the latter and distinguish between 'true' rarity (species with genuinely low population levels, occurring at the limit of their geographical distribution, etc.) and 'apparent' rarity (sampling methods not appropriate, sampling of marginal habitats, seasonality, or timing of activity, etc.). Rare species are perceived as important in 727 aquatic systems and are usually retained for the analyses, since their preservation is often the ultimate aim of biological monitoring (Lenat and Resh 2001). The situation is not as evident in terrestrial systems, where the higher and more complex habitat diversity means that a greater proportion of 'apparent' rare species is also to be expected (i.e. vagrant or poorly sampled species are probably much more common in terrestrial than in aquatic systems). Work with local parataxonomists, by increasing the scope of the protocol to include other sampling methods and obtaining more spatial and temporal replicates, may reduce the proportion of 'apparent' rare species, but not beyond a certain threshold, which relates to the sampling of marginal habitats (Novotny and Basset 2000). Since, in the tropics, the proportion of 'apparent' rare species may be relatively high in terrestrial data sets obtained with low sampling effort, common sense dictates the exclusion of all rare species from these data sets. In contrast, data sets obtained with intensive sampling effort should be analyzed with their rare species, since these data are more likely to include 'true' rare species, as defined above. The present results suggest that inclusion or exclusion of rare species per se in the analyses is not as important as the primary information included in the data matrices (i.e. which taxa are included). Analyses including rare taxa had slightly more discriminating power than those excluding rare species, but the fine discrimination of study sites was not improved notably. This conclusion was confirmed when we repeated the analyses (not presented here) of DCAs including rare taxa but with the raw data log(x + 1 ) transformed, to downscale the effect of abundant species. This observation is reassuring and confirms the prospect of reaching a consensus and establishing a 'recipe' for biological monitoring of species-rich terrestrial eco- systems in the tropics. Predictor sets and indicator taxa No single taxon was useful in accurately classifying our study sites along the disturbance gradient, but a restricted set of families and morphospecies was. Accordingly, this study validates the concept of predictor sets for biological monitoring of terrestrial tropical systems and provides a starting point for identify- ing taxa that may be included in such predictor sets (see also Kotze and Samways (1999), for a similar argument). It is germane to ask what would have been the results of our study if we had considered only a popular indicator taxon such as, say, dung beetles (e.g., Davis et al. 2001; McGeogh et al. 2002). Certainly re-directing our whole protocol and sampling effort to increase spatial replicates and using different traps (including baits) would have resulted in better representation of dung beetles within our data sets, and those may have been able to discriminate the study sites more accurately. That is not our argument. Our protocol allowed comparison of the relative discriminatory power of similar data sets based either on chewers (including 536 individuals and 85 morphospecies of Chrysomelidae; Table 2), parasitoids (including 200 individuals and 22 morphospecies of Chalcididae) or scavengers (including 449 individuals and 28 morphospecies of dung beetles; Table 2) obtained with a similar sampling effort. The data sets for chewers and parasitoids proved to be more discriminating than the scavenger data set, which could differen- 728 tiate only between forested and non-forested sites. These results were similar when restricting the data set to dung beetles (analyses not presented here). We do not suggest that dung beetles should be excluded from biological monitoring, rather that they should be analyzed conjointly with other taxa, as predictor sets. Dung beetles are undoubtedly useful indicators of structural differences between ecosystems, in contrast to insect herbivores, such as chrysomelids, that reflect plant-feeding specialisations (Davis et al. 2001). In choosing taxa for inclusion in predictor sets, one must consider that the occurrence of some taxa may be related, and hence redundant. For example, Coccinellidae, Dolichopodidae and Syrphidae are likely to be predators of Aphididae in gardens (Table 5). Accordingly it will be more informative to consider but one of these families, redirecting effort to other families that may be of greater indicator value for old forests (such as Mycetophilidae; Table 5, and see the study of 0kland (1994) in Norway). Although Table 5 provides baseline information to identify predictor sets for forest-savanna ecosystems in Africa, we remain reluctant to propose specific families and morphospecies for predictor sets before studies similar to ours are carried out elsewhere in the tropics to build up a minimum level of information. Conclusions This study validated the usefulness of arthropod predictor sets in biological monitoring at a taxonomic scope not investigated before in the tropics. Kitching et al. (2000) identified 17 subfamilies of moths from light-trapping data that may be used as predictor sets of the quality of rainforest remnants in Australia. Work should now proceed to gather data similar to those presented here but originating from different tropical systems, and seeking a consensus as to which taxa should be included in predictor sets of wider taxonomic scope. Such a consensus will allow the derivation of a biotic index that will be representative, efficient and applicable to terrestrial invertebrate assemblages in the tropics, unlike that based on a few putative indicator taxa, such as butternies or dung beetles. Reaching such a consensus will not be easy. Proposed indicators are legion. They can indicate different effects. Their validation requires studies at different disturbance and geographical scales, and they should also be representative of major important microhabitats (McGeogh 1998; Andersen 1999; Taylor and Doran 2001). However, the calibration studies (with a statistically based, relatively objective, analysis of the kind presented here) required to achieve this ambitious task could be reasonably quickly performed (in less than half a year, as in the present study) with the help of local parataxonomists, with adequate eutaxonomic support. 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