Twelve testable hypotheses on the geobiology of weathering S. L. BRANTLEY,1 J . P . MEGONIGAL,2 F. N. SCATENA,3 Z. BALOGH-BRUNSTAD,4 R. T. BARNES,5 M. A. BRUNS,6 P. VAN CAPPELLEN,7 K. DONTSOVA,8 H. E. HARTNETT,9 A. S. HARTSHORN,1 0 A. HEIMSATH,1 1 E. HERNDON,1 L. JIN,1 C. K. KELLER,1 2 J . R. LEAKE,1 3 W. H. MCDOWELL,1 4 F. C. MEINZER,1 5 T. J . MOZDZER,2 S. PETSCH,1 6 J . PETT-RIDGE,1 7 K. S. PREGITZER,1 8 P. A. RAYMOND,1 9 C. S. RIEBE,2 0 K. SHUMAKER,2 1 A. SUTTON-GRIER,2 R. WALTER2 2 AND K. YOO2 3 1Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA 2Smithsonian Environmental Research Center, Edgewater, MD, USA 3Department of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA 4Departments of Geology, Environmental Sciences and Chemistry, Hartwick College, Oneonta, NY,USA 5Department of Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA 6Department of Crop and Soil Sciences, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA 7School of Earth andAtmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA 8Biosphere 2 Earthscience, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA 9School of Earth and Space Exploration, andDepartment of Chemistry and Biochemistry, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA 10Department of Geology and Environmental Science, James Madison University, Harrisonburg, VA, USA 11School of Earth and Space Exploration, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA 12School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman,WA,USA 13Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK 14Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of NewHampshire, Durham, NH, USA 15USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Corvallis, OR, USA 16Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA 17Department of Crop and Soil Science, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR,USA 18College of Natural Resources, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, USA 19Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, NewHaven, CT, USA 20Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY,USA 21College of Natural Sciences andMathematics, andDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, The University of West Alabama, Livingston, AL, USA 22Department of Earth and Environment, Franklin&Marshall College, Lancaster, PA, USA 23Department of Soil, Water, and Climate, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN, USA ABSTRACT Critical Zone (CZ) research investigates the chemical, physical, and biological processes that modulate the Earth?s surface. Here, we advance 12 hypotheses that must be tested to improve our understanding of the CZ: (1) Solar- to-chemical conversion of energy by plants regulates flows of carbon, water, and nutrients through plant- microbe soil networks, thereby controlling the location and extent of biological weathering. (2) Biological stoichi- ometry drives changes in mineral stoichiometry and distribution through weathering. (3) On landscapes experi- encing little erosion, biology drives weathering during initial succession, whereas weathering drives biology over the long term. (4) In eroding landscapes, weathering-front advance at depth is coupled to surface denudation via biotic processes. (5) Biology shapes the topography of the Critical Zone. (6) The impact of climate forcing on denudation rates in natural systems can be predicted from models incorporating biogeochemical reaction rates and geomorphological transport laws. (7) Rising global temperatures will increase carbon losses from the Critical Zone. (8) Rising atmospheric PCO2 will increase rates and extents of mineral weathering in soils. (9) Riverine solute fluxes will respond to changes in climate primarily due to changes in water fluxes and secondarily through changes in biologically mediated weathering. (10) Land use change will impact Critical Zone processes and exports more than climate change. (11) In many severely altered settings, restoration of hydrological processes is possible in decades or less, whereas restoration of biodiversity and biogeochemical processes requires longer  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 1 Geobiology (2011) DOI: 10.1111/j.1472-4669.2010.00264.x timescales. (12) Biogeochemical properties impart thresholds or tipping points beyond which rapid and irrevers- ible losses of ecosystem health, function, and services can occur. Received 12 May 2010; accepted 29 October 2010 Corresponding author: S. L. Brantley. Tel.: 814-865-1619; fax: 814-865-3191; e-mail: brantley@eesi.psu.edu INTRODUCTION The impact of humans on the Earth?s atmosphere, water, sedi- ments, soil, and biota is thought to be of such magnitude that a new geological epoch ? the Anthropocene ? has been proposed (Crutzen, 2002; Zalzsiewicz et al., 2008). The pace of anthropogenic change threatens sustainable use of soil and water, and impairs critical ecosystem services (Vitousek et al., 1997; DeFries & Eshleman, 2004; McNeil & Winiwarter, 2004; Foley et al., 2005; Wilkinson, 2005; Wilkinson & McElroy, 2007; Holdren, 2008; Mann & Kump, 2008). Predicting changes in earth resources requires quantitative models to forecast ? Earthcast ? the behavior of the zone extending from the vegetation canopy to groundwater (Bach- let et al., 2003; Yang et al., 2003; Steefel et al., 2005; Qu & Duffy, 2007; Minasny et al., 2008; Godde?ris et al., 2009; Rasmussen et al., 2010). This realm, where rocks meet life, has been named the Critical Zone (CZ; US National Research Council Committee on Basic Research Opportunities in the Earth Sciences, 2001). Within the CZ, biota ? including humans ? interact with earth processes to define the chemis- try, texture, and topography of our surface habitat through weathering, element cycling, and erosion. To describe the behavior of a system as multifaceted as the CZ, Earthcasting models need to be developed and parame- terized from observations of the atmosphere, water, surface Earth materials, and biota, made over a range of spatial and temporal scales. It is not sufficient, for example, to focus only on rocks at depth if the goal is to solve problems related to human-land-air-water interactions. Likewise, if the goal is to understand the long-term implications of climate change, it is not sufficient to measure the short-term responses of vegeta- tion, because nonlinear, highly complex responses can emerge over the long term, in strong contrast to more predictable, shorter-term linear responses (Swetnam et al., 1999; Gunder- son, 2000; Chadwick & Chorover, 2001; Bachlet et al., 2003). One of the best time-integrated records of the CZ is the soil itself: soil horizons, thicknesses, texture, structure, composition, biological activity and their spatial patterns in landscapes integrate and record the flow of material, changes in climatic and tectonic forcing, and the influence of humans and other biota on the CZ (Dokuchaev, 1883; Jenny, 1941, 1980; Yaalon, 1983; Retallack, 1990; Richter & Markewitz, 2001). Indeed, humans ultimately depend on weathering and erosion processes to maintain the natural resources under- lying society and ecosystems (McNeil & Winiwarter, 2004; Montgomery, 2007). Productive and sustainable agriculture, forestry, and aquatic resources are directly linked to CZ processes that transform rock into soil and sediment. In this study, we pose 12 hypotheses developed by more than 30 scientists from a range of scientific disciplines (see Acknowledgements). The group sought to state provocative, important, and testable hypotheses that are related to the com- plex interactions among biology, weathering, and erosion. Although some of the hypotheses have been implicit in scien- tific research conducted since the late 1800s, we argue that new analytical, modeling, and field opportunities now allow advances that can test these hypotheses over the next decade. EARLY DISCUSSIONS OF THE EFFECTS OF BIOLOGY ON WEATHERING AND EROSION Understanding how biology interacts with earth materials to form the CZ has long been a subject of curiosity, scientific inquiry, and social necessity. Historically, numerous proposals were advanced to explain weathering, the process that breaks down and solubilizes rock components, leaving residual soil minerals and exporting solutes. Some of these early ideas match our current understanding; for example, in the early to mid-1800s, the decomposition of igneous rocks was attributed to the reactivity of water and carbonic acid (Four- net, 1833; Hartt, 1853) and landscape evolution was thought to be influenced strongly by the production of physically mobile soils (Gilbert, 1877, 1909). Furthermore, very early on, the role of vegetation was noted: for example, Belt (1874) wrote that ?the percolation through rocks of rain water charged with a little acid from decomposing vegetation? accel- erated weathering. In roughly the same time period, Charles Darwin studied the effects of earthworms on soils, concluding that ?? all the vegetable mold over the whole country has passed many times through, and will again pass many times through, the intestinal canals of worms? (Darwin, 1881). By the 1880s, the concept of soils as natural systems that are gov- erned by the interaction of climate, living matter, parent mate- rial, relief, and time had been developed (Dokuchaev, 1883). Perhaps the modern era of biota-weathering research began in the latter half of the 1900s as researchers began to explore the role of microbial communities in weathering of historic stone buildings (Ehrlich, 1990; Krumbein et al., 1991). Today, a wide variety of researchers from many disciplines are focus- ing on the relationships between biota and weathering and erosion. Such efforts now focus on quantifying both the importance of microbial activity and plants in elemental cycling and rock weathering in natural systems (e.g. Banfield 2 S. L. BRANTLEY et al.  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd & Nealson, 1997; Berner et al., 2003). Furthermore, research- ers are also modeling the effects of fauna on weathering and erosion (e.g. Gabet et al., 2003). Recent work on nutrient cycling and material flows within ecosystems also acknowledges the importance of rock weathering in structuring ecosystems (Banfield & Nealson, 1997; Buss et al., 2005; Osterkamp & Hupp, 2010). Despite the long history of inquiry, quantitative insights on many fundamental issues have been elusive. For example, the contribution of rock weathering to ecosystem-level biogeo- chemical cycling has rarely been measured directly and is typically calculated as the difference between atmospheric inputs and stream flow exports. Likewise, linking the role of biologic agents of erosion and climatic change to both short- and long-term denudation has been elusive. Fortunately, new isotopic techniques (Bourdon et al., 2004; Johnson et al., 2004; Von Blanckenburg, 2006) and advances in the use of molecular biological (Banfield et al., 2005), elemental (Herr- mann et al., 2007), and organic (Johansson et al., 2009) analyses now make it possible to quantify the rates of rock weathering and to define the role of organisms. DEFINITIONS: TALKING ABOUT THE CZ Although the CZ has been researched since the onset of science, the term itself is new. CZ science incorporates a holis- tic yet quantitative approach to understanding Earth surface processes, integrating across diverse scientific disciplines and a range of spatial and temporal scales. To promote communica- tion across the CZ disciplines and to begin to achieve consen- sus about terminology, we present working definitions of key CZ terms that have been variously defined over the years by different groups. Defining the CZ system Beginning at the base of the CZ, we define parent material as earth material as it was before alteration by surface processes. In some cases, parent material is consolidated bedrock. In other cases, it can be unconsolidated sediments, or fragments of rocks and organic matter transported from elsewhere. Regardless of the nature of the parent material, its alteration causes the development of regolith, here defined as the mantle of unconsolidated and altered material that was generated from the parent material. In this context, soil is the surface sublayer within regolith where the parent material has been extensively altered, generally by chemical, physical, and biolog- ical transformations. Likewise, saprolite is the zone in regolith, if present, where parent material has weathered isovolumetri- cally in place. Saprolite generally retains evidence of parent material texture and fabric. Biological, chemical, and physical alteration processes are important in both saprolite and soil, but soil is more affected by biology due to its shallow depth and proximity to the plant canopy, which is the source of chemical energy for much of the biological activity that drives weathering. Defined this way, soils are the surface-most zone of the regolith where biological, chemical, hydrological, and physical processes are most active, characteristically driving the evolution of layers known as horizons. Although CZ interactions between biology and weathering are most intense and dynamic in the soil, it should be emphasized that biological activity ? both in situ and ex situ ? is also an important feature of weathering processes in the saprolite and deeper zones of regolith. Importantly, these definitions do not match those used in all the CZ disciplines. For example, some scientists define ?soil? to include saprolite. Also, geomorphologists describe regolith (Small et al., 1999) or the mobile soil layer (Heims- ath et al., 1997) on hillslopes as the layer that is physically mixed and transported downslope. Clearly, the mobile layer and the chemically altered layer do not have to be coincident. Lower limit of regolith The bottom of regolith is defined here as the point where chemical and physical properties change from unaltered to altered. This leads to two operational definitions for the parent?regolith interface: (i) the physical interface where the underlying parent material has altered and can be easily sampled without drilling or hammering, or (ii) the chemical interface where regolith is chemically distinct from parent material. The first definition is useful for field work. Thus, the depth of refusal during augering or digging is often used to define the base of regolith. However, at this depth, the ?par- ent? may be both physically and chemically changed from the true parent and therefore the operational definition may be problematic. Furthermore, when parent is a deposit such as alluvium or colluvium, the physical base of regolith may not be easy to define using this criterion. In addition, it is important to reiterate that geomorpholo- gists often define the parent?regolith interface with a third operational definition: (iii) the interface between ?mobile? and ?immobile? material, generally identified in soil pits from grain size and textural relationships. The mobile layer is also some- times denoted in the geomorphological literature as the ?soil? and the underlying material is referred to either as ?weathered bedrock? or as ?saprolite? depending on the degree of chemical weathering. Importantly, these geomorphological definitions may differ in many situations from definitions in this paper. Whereas interfaces (i) and (iii) can be identified in the field, the chemical base of regolith (interface ii) requires measure- ments that can only be completed in the laboratory. Even with such laboratory analyses, an operational definition is still needed ? e.g. 10% alteration ? to define the distinction between regolith and parent. Such laboratory measurements can be used to define weathering reaction fronts for chemical reactions ? zones of regolith across which a given chemical reaction for a given mineral occurs. Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 3  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Both regolith and parent material are often described with respect to their lithology. The term lithology refers to the rock type that includes information about composition and miner- alogy. Also important is the rock texture ? a term referring to the size and distribution of mineral grains and porosity, as well as the presence or absence of banding or other patterns. CZ processes The term weathering is used here to denote all processes that change the parent material to regolith. As discussed further below, some of these weathering processes result in net loss of material from a system whereas others represent alteration with little or no mass flux out. Here, we define denudation as the net loss of all material due to chemical, biological, and physical processes. Although weathering is used here in a very general sense, we will define chemical weathering specifically to include only chemical reactions that transform the chemistry, mineralogy, or texture of a solid phase in the CZ. For example, the original minerals in the parent, i.e. the primary minerals, are often chemically weathered to produce solutes (dissolved species in the aqueous phase) that may precipitate as new secondary minerals. The driving force for weathering is the impulse to decrease the free energy of the system as primary minerals equilibrated to deep conditions re-equilibrate to the condi- tions at Earth?s surface. Chemical weathering can release elements into water that are transported out of the system as solutes (chemical denudation), into the gas phase, or into ecosystem pools (biological uptake). Importantly, precipita- tion of secondary minerals is a crucial component of the chemical evolution of the CZ, but it is not included in the chemical denudation term. Physical weathering is defined here to include only pro- cesses that fracture, change the density, or reduce the grain size of the parent material without changing mineral chemis- try. Thus, physical weathering does not change the chemistry but rather tends to increase the surface area per unit mass, or specific surface area, of parent material and thus increases its susceptibility to chemical weathering and denudation. By dis- rupting the coherence of the parent, physical weathering may also promote physical denudation, which is conceptually paral- lel to chemical denudation in that it denotes the net loss of regolith as solids rather than solutes. In this paper, erosion is defined as the sediment outflux minus the sediment influx for a given location and is thus identical to physical denudation. To some researchers, the term erosion connotes losses due to chemical, physical, and biological processes ? a usage that we reserve for denudation. Here, we adopt the convention that erosion refers to material losses due to physical movement of earth material, without reference to losses of solutes from the system. Critical Zone science aims to quantify rates and spatial dis- tributions of these processes. The rate of chemical or physical denudation is defined as the net loss per unit time of solutes or sediments, respectively, from a given system. These rates are expressed in units of mass or moles or volume of material per unit time. To compare denudation rates among different watersheds or hillslopes typically requires normalization relative to the area in question. Thus, chemical and physical denudation fluxes are typically expressed as volume or mass per area per time (m3 m)2 year)1 or m year)1; kg m)2 year)1). To transform from units of volume per area per time to mass per area per time requires knowledge of bulk density (mass per unit volume) of regolith or parent material. Biological weathering refers to all the processes by which biota ? including humans ? change the chemical or physical properties of parent or regolith. Distinguishing biological from chemical and physical weathering is ambiguous: for example, the transformation of a primary mineral to a second- ary mineral within a biofilm that releases solutes to bulk pore- fluid might be described as both chemical and biological weathering. Similarly, plant roots and burrowing animals take advantage of existing pores and fractures in bedrock to advance physical weathering. The distinction between chemi- cal and physical weathering can be ambiguous as well. For example, chemical reactions are thought to drive fracturing during weathering; conversely, opening of fractures promotes chemical weathering of new surfaces. Water in the CZ In general, groundwater is water in the saturated zone, where pore space is filled with water. In contrast, the unsaturated or vadose zone is the layer where pores are filled by both air and water. The original definition of the CZ stated that the bottom of the CZ is roughly the bottom of groundwater (US National Research Council Committee on Basic Research Opportunities in the Earth Sciences, 2001). However, the base of groundwater is not precisely defined. At some point at depth, water is no longer described as groundwater and is better described as diagenetic water, i.e. water that has been heated to a minor degree along the geothermal gradient. Diagenetic water may have been trapped during rock forma- tion or it may consist of meteoric water circulated downward from the Earth?s surface. As the residence time and temperatures of diagenetic waters increase, the water chemically equilibrates with higher-tem- perature assemblages of minerals at depth. In contrast, in some locations at the land surface, water may be in equilibrium with low-temperature assemblages of minerals. However, most of the CZ is characterized by water that is present at ambient temperature and that is not chemically equilibrated: shallowly circulating meteoric waters are not hot enough nor have they experienced long enough residence times to be everywhere chemically equilibrated. The CZ is the zone defined by the gra- dient from mineral assemblages equilibrated to above-ambi- ent temperatures at depth to mineral assemblages equilibrated 4 S. L. BRANTLEY et al.  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd to ambient temperatures at Earth?s surface. The CZ, the zone that is largely at near-ambient temperatures and that has not attained chemical equilibrium, is therefore the zone that hosts organisms living off energy derived from chemically non-equilibrated rocks and from the sun. Evolution of the CZ It is also important to note that some landscapes are experi- encing active erosion while others are relatively stable, without significant erosion. Stable landscapes may be characterized by soil profiles that deepen with time and whose characteristics change with time. Sets of soils on the same lithology and in the same climate that have developed on such stable land- scapes over different exposure periods are referred to as chro- nosequences. In contrast, the thickness of soils developed on actively eroding landscapes may reach steady state such that the rate of weathering advance downward into parent material is roughly equal to the rate of erosive loss of material at the surface. The weathering advance rate can be used to describe the rate of transformation of bedrock to saprolite (saprolite advance rate) or saprolite to soil (soil production rate). In both actively eroding and stable landscapes, the CZ is an example of a complex, non-equilibrium dynamical system owing to its existence in a thermodynamic gradient, over which it dissipates energy and may exhibit emergent proper- ties (Prigogine, 1980; Corning, 2002). As an open system, the CZ experiences inputs and outputs of energy and matter. Although the properties of a dynamical system generally vary with time, they may under certain conditions remain at steady state. For an open system, this requires the inputs and outputs across the system?s boundaries to balance one another. Under steady-state conditions, it is possible to define the mean resi- dence time or turnover time of a set of particles or elements as the mass of particles or elements in the system divided by the rate of throughput. The term residence time is usually applied to physical, chemical, and biological constituents of the CZ. The application of the concepts of residence time and steady state requires a careful definition of the system?s boundaries and the timescale of interest. THE HYPOTHESES The complex interplay of weathering and biota in the CZ poses challenges for advancing research on how Earth?s surface evolves in response to biological processes and other factors. Essential to overcoming these challenges is the use of an interdisciplinary approach. Using such an approach, we developed 12 provocative hypotheses that can be tested today, without regard for whether one or more may turn out to be untenable or whether some elements of the different hypothe- ses are contradictory. The goal in advancing these hypotheses is to stimulate important research at the nexus of weathering and biology. Understanding the CZ Hypothesis 1. Solar-to-chemical conversion of energy by plants regulates flows of carbon, water, and nutrients through plant-microbe soil networks, thereby controlling the location and extent of biological weathering The fossil record documents that, for more than 400 million years, the majority of land plants have formed symbiotic asso- ciations with mycorrhizal fungi (Taylor et al., 2009). In the Devonian, the evolution of land plants with mycorrhizal asso- ciations coincided with an order of magnitude decrease in atmospheric CO2. This was followed by a more gradual decline in PCO2 from the middle Cretaceous that has been linked to increased continental weathering of Ca and Mg from silicate minerals and their re-precipitation in marine carbon- ates (Berner, 2006). Increasing evidence implicates plant? mycorrhizal fungal co-evolution as a key driver of these processes (Taylor et al., 2009). Plants and their mycorrhizal fungi form an integrated network transporting carbon, water, and nutrients through the CZ, with organic carbon flowing down from the top of the vegetation canopy to the tips of the deepest roots and mycorrhizal mycelia in soil, whereas in return water and nutri- ents are taken up and transported through the organisms back to the canopy (Fig. 1). Flows of soil water and dissolved nutri- ents into mycorrhizal fungi and roots (Fig. 1, Box B) are largely controlled by the photosynthetic activity of plants. As stomata open in leaves to allow CO2 uptake and fixation, loss of water is promoted to the atmosphere (Fig. 1, Box A). This, in turn, serves to draw replacement water from elsewhere in the soil through the network of interconnected plant and fun- gal tissues. Biotic networks can affect geochemical processes at considerable distances beyond the site of biological origin due to transport of metabolic products (e.g. carbon and acids gen- erated by biota) to significant depths where they stimulate reactions (Oh & Richter, 2005). Roots and their mycorrhizal fungal associates are the major conduits for transport of the chemical energy fixed by plant photosynthesis into the soil. Mycorrhizal fungi are supported by 10?30% of the sugars synthesized by their host plants, enabling these fungi to develop extensive mycelial networks, often exceeding 200 m cm)3 of soil (Leake et al., 2004). These fungal networks selectively absorb nutrients that are required by the host plants. The networks also contribute to labile C pools by actively secreting organic acids, sidero- phores, and enzymes (Landeweert et al., 2001; Finlay et al., 2009). Such organic molecules provide carbon sources to communities of associated bacteria and archaea, promoting the dissolution and uptake of mineral nutrients by the fungi (Fig. 1, Box C). Mycorrhizal fungal networks proliferate on the surfaces of some minerals due to strong physical bonding, secretion of organic compounds and protons, and active, selective, ion uptake, thereby directing the solar-to-chemical energy converted by the plant shoots into intense localized Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 5  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd weathering of selected soil minerals (Leake et al., 2008; Bon- neville et al., 2009). In addition, the associated bacteria and archaea form biofilms around the mycelial network (Fig. 1, Box C). This biofilm may also enhance weathering and may reduce the loss of weathered products to bulk soil water (Bal- ogh-Brunstad et al., 2008). As transpiration draws water up through roots and mycor- rhizal mycelia, the surface soil often becomes relatively dry although the deeper roots continue to access water (Fig. 1, Box B). Thus, water is hydraulically redistributed via roots from wetter to drier regions of the soil (Fig. 1, Boxes B and C). This process normally happens at night when transpiration is negligible. Hydraulically redistributed water (Warren et al., 2008) can allow mycorrhizal fungi to remain active in dry soil. These processes can therefore lead to increases in localized concentrations of ligands, protons, and other secretions that may accelerate and enhance mycorrhizal weathering activity (Fig. 1, Box C). This may, in turn, enhance the supply of nutrients to host plants to enable greater growth and photo- synthesis (Fig. 1, Box A), returning more chemical energy to weathering processes (Fig. 1, Box C). The existence of functional connections between plant pho- tosynthesis and mycorrhizal nutrient uptake are well estab- lished (Graustein et al., 1979; Landeweert et al., 2001; Finlay et al., 2009), but only in the past decade have researchers begun to quantify the potentially major role played by mycor- rhizal fungi and plants in weathering of minerals (Banfield & Nealson, 1997; Berner et al., 2003; Taylor et al., 2009) and in hydraulic redistribution of water (Brooks et al., 2006). Advances in the use of isotope tracers to study the integrated Fig. 1 A conceptual model of chemical energy in the form of organic carbon formed by photosynthesis driving carbon, water, and element flows in the CZ through a networked community of plants, mycorrhizal fungi, bacteria, and archaea. Plant roots and their associated mycorrhizal fungal networks are supported by substantial fluxes of recent photosynthate (red) fixed in plant shoots from atmospheric carbon dioxide. They use this energy to play a pivotal role in the uptake of water (blue) and nutrients (green) from soil. There is strong inter-dependency between these dynamic flux pathways that act synergistically to enhance biological weathering. (Box A) Water flow and nutrient fluxes are driven by transpiration losses associated with open stomata to allow carbon dioxide uptake into the leaves. The main demand for nutrients is in the leaves that provide the photosynthate carbon flux to roots and into mycorrhizal fungi for acquisition of nutrients. (Box B) Water uptake from the wetter deeper soil layers via mycorrhizal hyphal networks and roots includes the uptake of elements in soil solution and is supported by recent photosynthate provided by the plant. The mycorrhiza-root network can also contribute to hydraulic redistribution of soil water (dotted blue lines in main figure and Box C). (Box C) Mycorrhizal fungi release substantial amounts of carbon through respiration and exudation that promote biofilm development on mineral surfaces (pink areas) facilitated by spe- cialized mycorrhizosphere bacteria and archaea (purple cells). Localized moisture films (blue patches) provided by hydraulic redistribution (dotted blue lines) may enable the fungi and associated micro-organisms to actively weather minerals during dry soil conditions and to capture and transport essential nutrients to the plant. Mycorrhizal networks of multiple species connect between adjacent plants, so they can transport some of the hydraulically redistributed soil water and the released nutrients into other plants (right side). 6 S. L. BRANTLEY et al.  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd transport pathways through mycorrhizal mycelia, roots, and shoots (Warren et al., 2008), together with advances in meth- ods to study mineral weathering at the scale of individual grains and fungal hyphae (Bonneville et al., 2009), and molecular, microscopic, spectroscopic, and modeling tech- niques provide the necessary tools to test this hypothesis at appropriate spatial and temporal scales. For example, chemical energy fixed by plants and allocated to support mycorrhizal mycelial networks in soil can be mea- sured using 13C- or 14C-labeled CO2 supplied to shoots (Leake et al., 2004). These isotopes can be traced through mycorrhizal mycelia as exudates are taken up into associated bacteria and archaea. Pathways for hydraulic redistribution can similarly be studied using deuterium or tritium tracers. The absolute and relative magnitudes of hydraulic redistribu- tion can be assessed through continuous monitoring of changes in the volumetric water content of deep and shallow soil layers (Warren et al., 2008) and measurements of the direction and magnitude of sap flow in deep and shallow roots (Brooks et al., 2006; Scholz et al., 2008). Weathering can be measured by characterization of the alteration of natural min- erals or by inserting mineral grains into regolith (Nugent et al., 1998). Synthetic minerals labeled with rare earth or radioactive elements can also be used. These studies require an interdisciplinary approach that combines laboratory and field experiments and involves integrative studies across differ- ent bioclimatic regions. Hypothesis 2. Biological stoichiometry drives changes in mineral stoichiometry and distribution through weathering Stoichiometry is here used to refer to the quantitative ratio of elements in a phase or in a chemical reaction. The composi- tions of primary minerals such as quartz (SiO2) or biotite (K(Mg, Fe)3AlSi3O10(OH)2), and secondary minerals such as goethite (FeOOH) are defined with respect to stoichiometry. Where reactants and products are known, the stoichiometries of mineral?water reactions that comprise chemical weathering are also well defined. Similarly, the stoichiometry of redox reactions that constitute plant and microbial respiration are also fairly well known. Even the stoichiometry of biota has been explored. In marine systems for example, the stoichio- metry of marine phytoplankton is nominally defined by the ratios of C:N:P = 106:16:1 (Redfield, 1958; Redfield et al., 1963). Relatively recently, ratios for other elements in phyto- plankton ? K, Mg, Fe, Mn, Zn, Cu, Mo ? have been shown to reflect the intrinsic metabolic requirements of specific spe- cies (Ho et al., 2003; Quigg et al., 2003). The concept of biological stoichiometry is also rooted in the terrestrial and limnological literature (for a comprehensive synthesis see Sterner & Elser, 2002). Ecological stoichiometry has gener- ally (but not always, see Townsend et al., 2007) proven to be a useful framework for examining the transfer of matter at scales ranging from cells to organisms to ecosystems to the globe. The stoichiometries of organisms and minerals in the CZ are intrinsically coupled because most of the 30 or so bio- essential elements are derived from soil minerals. However, plants do not always require elements in the same proportions at which they occur in the Earth?s crust (Table 1, Fig. 2). As a result, biological uptake by plants and micro-organisms alters the composition and distribution of elements in soils. Although it has been shown that plants and micro-organisms affect such distributions (Hinsinger et al., 1993; Markewitz & Richter, 1998; Jobbagy & Jackson, 2001; Street-Perott & Barker, 2008; Brantley & White, 2009), and conversely, that element distributions influence plant community composition (Lopez et al., 2009), few studies explicitly link the stoichio- metric requirements of biological processes to the changes Crust element content (log10 atom percent) ?6 ?5 ?4 ?3 ?2 ?1 0 1 2 P la nt e le m en t c on te nt (l og 10 a to m p er ce nt ) ?6 ?5 ?4 ?3 ?2 ?1 0 1 2 C O H N K Ca SiMgP S Cl Al Fe Mn B Zn Cu NiMo Enriched in the crust Enriched in plants 1:1 Line Fig. 2 Abundance of elements in Earth?s crust compared with abundance in plant tissues. Data compiled by J. R. Leake. Table 1 Average elemental ratios in plants and in Earth?s crust* Element ratio Plant tissue Crustal rock C:N 37 8.0 C:P 650 0.6 N:P 18 0.07 Al:P 0.08 90 Si:P 1.8 293 Fe:P 0.04 27 Cu:P 0.002 0.03 Si:Al 23 3.3 Fe:Al 0.50 0.30 P:Al 13 0.01 Cu:Al 0.02 0.0003 Mo:Al 0.0002 0.000005 *Data from J. R. Leake. Greater Si:Al, P:Al, and Fe:Al ratios in plants compared with the crust suggest that plants extract and retain Si, P, and Fe from earth materials. Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 7  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd these processes exert on soil mineralogy. Furthermore, the range of ?typical? stoichiometries for biological systems reflects many different organisms, life strategies, and metabolisms. The stoichiometric effects of these processes have yet to be fully explored (Sterner & Elser, 2002). A corollary to this hypothesis is the idea that abiotic chemi- cal weathering would generate a substantially different set of mineral compositions for a given set of conditions, one that reflects equilibrium thermodynamics and abiotic reaction kinetics that are not affected by biological stoichiometry. For example, geologic evidence suggests the rise of land plants was responsible for the shift from predominantly mechanically derived sediments to the phyllosilicate-rich pedogenic clay minerals found in the Neoproterozic (Kennedy et al., 2006). Despite such arguments, we currently have a limited mecha- nistic understanding of how mass and energy transfer by plants and micro-organisms alter mineralogy (see Fig. 1), and even less about the role of stoichiometric constraints on these processes. Intriguingly, because many enzymatic reactions require redox-sensitive metals such as Fe or Mo, organisms may extract these metals and leave behind metal-depleted minerals (Kemner et al., 2005; Liermann et al., 2005; Tang & Valix, 2006). In fact, in arid-land systems, trace elements that are present in minerals are strongly depleted in biological soil crusts relative to uncrusted soils (Beraldi-Campesi et al., 2009). Nutrient and metal limitation studies suggest that the N2-fixing cyanobacteria that form these crusts have specific requirements for Mo that are satisfied via microbial alteration of soil minerals (H. Hartnett, unpubl. data). The role of biological stoichiometry in weathering and its potential control on soil mineralogy is amenable to investiga- tion via field studies and laboratory experiments at a variety of spatial scales. For example, high-resolution chemical mapping (Carlson et al., 1999; Fenter et al., 2001; Ketcham & Carl- son, 2001) could reveal how micro-organisms associate with minerals containing bio-essential elements and what minerals remain after micro-organisms have extracted those elements. At larger scales, soils have a characteristic bio-architecture (Fierer et al., 2003) wherein organisms exist in discrete zones; e.g. phototrophs at the soil surface, fungi at locations associ- ated with plant roots, and heterotrophs at specific redox fronts or depths that are protected from exposure to UV radiation. At watershed or regional scales, the range of soil types encom- passed by observatory networks enables the investigation of patterns along gradients in soil chemistry and biology. Hypothesis 3. On landscapes experiencing little erosion, biology drives weathering during initial succession, whereas weathering drives biology over the long term The interplay between weathering and biology is clearly evident in relatively stable landscapes where erosion is insignif- icant compared with the rates of weathering advance. In such landscapes, when soils are young and rich in nutrients, the net primary productivity is not limited by inorganic nutrient sup- ply (Fig. 3). As summarized previously in Fig. 1, organisms increase mineral dissolution rates through a variety of processes such as providing organic acids (Drever & Stillings, 1997). Organisms also remove weathering products from solution (Berner & Cochran, 1998), a process that is influ- enced by the hydrological flux (Velbel, 1993; White et al., 1996; Bhatt & McDowell, 2007; Brantley & White, 2009). As nutrients are removed from the system or incorporated into the biota over time, the net primary productivity can become limited by the inorganic nutrients derived from mineral weathering; this evolution is clearly observed in some chronosequences (Wardle et al., 2004). Where such chrono- sequences are developed on stable landscapes, we hypothesize that weathering is at first controlled by biological processes, but later is controlled by physical processes that determine the contents and accessibility of nutrients in the CZ. The timing of this transition is dictated by climate, lithology, and denuda- tion. An example of this general phenomenon is the idea that terrestrial ecosystems shift from N- to P-limitation over the course of ecosystem development as weathering and denuda- tion deplete biologically available P pools in the regolith (Walker & Syers, 1976; Wardle et al., 2004). Once P in rego- lith is depleted, the only P available is from underlying parent minerals or incoming dust (Derry & Chadwick, 2007). This idea of a shift from N- to P-limitation has been around for decades, yet it has generally been confirmed only for extre- mely old and chemically weathered soils in tropical settings (Tanner et al., 1990; Herbert & Fownes, 1995; Vitousek & Farrington, 1997; Cleveland et al., 2006). Furthermore, the Degree of soil weathering B io av ai la bi lit y of m in er al -d er iv ed n ut rie nt s N utrient lim itation by m ineral-derived nutrients Fig. 3 A conceptual figure illustrating the hypothesized shift in the relationship between weathering and the biosphere for stable landscapes as discussed in Hypothesis 3. Soon after biota become established at a given location, the bio- availability of mineral-derived nutrients increases due to biotic stimulation of chemical weathering rates (see Fig. 1). Over time, as the degree of soil weather- ing progresses and nutrients are lost at a slow rate due to leakage from the sys- tem, biotic demand will eventually exceed the supply of mineral-derived nutrients, causing the system to shift into a state of nutrient limitation. 8 S. L. BRANTLEY et al.  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd availability of elements other than N and P (e.g. Ca, Fe, K, Mn, Cu, Mo) must also be considered as discussed above in Hypothesis 2 (Clarkson & Hanson, 1980). Intriguingly, limitation can also be due to multiple elements (Bern et al., 2005; Elser et al., 2007; Barron et al., 2009). The interpretation of multinutrient limitation and how it might affect ecosystems must be carefully considered with respect to the spatial and temporal scale of observations (Wiens, 1989; Hunter et al., 1998). The spatial controls on soil ecosystems (Ettema & Wardle, 2002) and how stable eco- system states are controlled by environmental drivers (Beisner et al., 2003) is of great current interest. Variations in lithology represent additional complexity. The elemental composition of bedrock sets the size of the nutrient pool, whereas the weatherability of the minerals affects how quickly the pool is made biologically available. Therefore, different bedrock types may sustain different degrees of ecosystem development or succession depending on the abundance and susceptibility of minerals to weathering. Addi- tionally, soils develop a number of other properties such as Eh, pH, porosity, clay content, and cation exchange capacity that all depend at least partly upon their parent material (Oh & Richter, 2005), which in turn strongly influence elemental cycling between biota and minerals. Lithology also affects the spatial variation in biotic activity (Fierer et al., 2003, Philippot et al., 2009). One corollary to this hypothesis is the growing consensus that denudation replenishes inorganic nutrients that other- wise become depleted (e.g. Porder et al., 2007). The means by which this occurs is likely a part of complex feedbacks among tectonics, climate, and lithology (Anderson et al., 2007). For example, climate may be particularly important in controlling chemical weathering rates in systems with high denudation rates (West et al., 2005). Thus, the resi- dence time of minerals within soils may be sensitive to physi- cal denudation rates in geomorphically dynamic landscapes (Almond et al., 2007; Yoo & Mudd, 2008a). Unraveling long-term changes in biological availability of inorganic nutrients in physically dynamic landscapes will require greater understanding of how (if at all) the propagation of weathering fronts are coupled with ground surface denuda- tion (Hypothesis 4). Hypothesis 4. In eroding landscapes, weathering-front advance at depth is coupled to surface denudation via biotic processes In stable landscapes (Hypothesis 3), regolith development depends on rates of weathering front advance and the progres- sive depletion of parent material by chemical denudation (Yoo & Mudd, 2008b). In contrast, regolith development in eroding landscapes reflects the balance between advance of weathering at depth and lowering of the surface by chemical and physical denudation. Unlike chemical denudation, which encompasses losses due to weathering reactions over all depths in the regolith profile, erosion removes material prefer- entially from the near surface, without leaving behind any secondary minerals or chemically depleted rock fragments (Fig. 4). Hence, physical denudation tends to keep soils relatively fresh, compared with those developed in stable set- tings. Note that if erosional renewal of regolith is fast enough, it could preclude development of the latter stages of ecosys- tem succession identified in Hypothesis 3. To obtain a comprehensive understanding of how biological processes interact with regolith development, it is important to quantify relative rates of regolith production and removal in eroding landscapes. Cosmogenic radionuclide (CRN) measurements in samples of soil, sediment, and rock permit quantitative study of landscape denudation (Granger & Riebe, 2007) and soil production (Heimsath et al., 1997). Over the last two decades, we have learned much about the CZ from CRN studies of surface processes in diverse settings (Von Blancken- burg, 2006). In contrast, we know comparatively little about how climate and biological stoichiometry (see Hypothesis 2) influence the advance of weathering into parent material at depth. Recent studies of weathering of clasts of known age have provided clues about how weathering initiates and advances into geologic materials (Sak et al., 2004) but it is not clear how this scales to understanding weathering in eroding, soil-mantled watersheds (Navarre-Sitchler & Brantley, 2007). Important progress has been made in studies of root wedging, faunally induced bioturbation (Gabet et al., 2003) and the grain-scale processes discussed in Hypothesis 1. Yet, linkages between biological processes and weathering in the subsur- face remain qualitative at best. Theoretical considerations Fig. 4 Schematic showing regolith with thickness Hregolith (here equal to the combined thickness of the soil, Hsoil, and saprolite, Hsaprolite) overlying unweath- ered parent material (labeled bedrock). Upward arrows denote fluxes of solid Earth materials across horizons; diagonal arrows denote fluxes out of the sys- tem. Chemical and physical weathering of parent material results in a flux of ?fresh? minerals into the regolith (Pregolith). Chemical denudation in saprolite (Wsaprolite) prepares it for conversion into soil (Psoil). Physical and chemical denu- dation of soil (Esoil and Wsoil, respectively) removes it from the landscape. The sum of the denudational fluxes is the total denudation rate (D). Aeolian fluxes (not shown) may be an important additional source of mass in the CZ. Adapted from Riebe et al. (2003, 2004) and Dixon et al. (2009). Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 9  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd (Dietrich et al., 1995) and field data (Heimsath et al., 1997) imply that variations in production rates of the mobile soil layer may often be driven by biotic processes. This raises the question of whether a similar coupling exists between biota at the surface and the processes that control regolith production at depth. If this is the case, then it would provide a mechanism for equilibrating rates of surface lowering and weathering front advance. By extension, this would provide a means to keep regolith thickness roughly stable over time. Steady-state regolith thickness is an a priori assumption in many studies of weathering (Yoo & Mudd, 2008b). Although recent model- ing efforts suggest that steady-state regolith can prevail in some landscapes (Fletcher et al., 2006; Lebedeva et al., 2007), we lack empirical evidence for it in nature and further- more do not understand how biota might contribute to (or disrupt) any tendency toward development of steady state. Hypothesis 4 addresses this knowledge gap head-on, propos- ing that weathering-front advance is coupled to surface erosion via biotic processes. In the limit of very tight coupling, the regolith production rate should be equal to the total (physical plus chemical) denudation rate (Fig. 4), and, by extension, the surface lowering rate should be equal to the weathering advance rate. To test whether surface denudation is coupled to weather- ing-front advance via biotic processes, we need reliable, widely applicable methods for quantifying rates of weathering front advance in landscapes. To date, no such method has been available. However, recent advances in multicollector induc- tively coupled plasma mass spectrometry promise to yield quantitative understanding of the initiation of weathering from measurements of weathering-induced fractionations in non-traditional stable isotopes (Johnson et al., 2004) and U-series disequilibrium dating (DePaolo et al., 2006; Maher et al., 2006; Dosseto et al., 2008). These approaches may allow quantification of the time elapsed since weathering began (i.e. the regolith residence time; Dosseto et al., 2008). For example, if the production rate of regolith (Pregolith) equals the denudation rate of the landscape (Fig. 4), the rego- lith thickness (Hregolith) would be at steady state and we could write expressions (1) and (2): Hregolith ? Pregolithsregolith ?1? and Pregolith ? Psoil?Zrsaprolite=?Zrparent: ?2? Here Psoil is the production rate of soil (measured from CRN), sregolith is the residence time for material in the regolith (for example, estimated from U-series disequilibrium dating), and [Zr]saprolite and [Zr]parent are the concentrations of an immobile element such as zirconium (i.e. an element which is relatively insoluble and thus cannot be chemically denuded away) in saprolite and parent material, respectively. If the regolith is in steady state, regolith thicknesses predic- ted from expressions (1) and (2) should be equal to thicknesses observed from cores or shallow geophysical images, suggesting that landscape lowering is quantitatively coupled with weather- ing front advance. Discrepancies between observed and pre- dicted values of Hregolith would imply departures from steady state. Hence, the comparison of predicted and observed thick- nesses should shed light on linkages between or decoupling of surface and subsurface processes. To the extent that surface and subsurface processes are coupled, we should be able to explore how the coupling works, using results from expressions (1) and (2) from many points on the landscape. Such observations could then be combined with measures of biotic parameters to address questions about the geobiolo- gy of weathering and erosion. For example, do differences in vegetation and other biota (e.g. the mycorrhizal networks discussed in Hypothesis 1) help regulate the advance of the weathering front? If so, we should see correlations between regolith depth and the penetration depth of the process in question. If tree roots and associated mycorrhizal networks regulate the depth of bedrock ? as part of the interchange of water and nutrients outlined in Hypothesis 1, for example ? then depth of rooting may correspond systematically to the depth of fractured rock, where weathering advance is focused. On the other hand, if vegetation has changed over the time- scales of regolith formation due to ecosystem succession factors discussed in Hypothesis 3, we might observe disagree- ment between regolith thickness and the penetration depths of biota, even in systems that have nominally steady thickness over the long term. In any case, we are poised to make signifi- cant advances in documenting how biological, chemical, and physical processes interact across depth, from the surface to the regolith-rock interface in the CZ. Hypothesis 5. Biology shapes the topography of the Critical Zone In some ways, coming to grips with the importance of life on the Earth?s air, water, and land is simply a matter of recogniz- ing the obvious: life in all shapes and forms mantles most of the planet?s surface. Hypotheses 1 through 4 emphasize the phenomena that control elemental distributions and thickness of regolith. As such, investigations driven by these hypotheses could provide answers to the question, what would this planet ? any planet ? look like without life? One important aspect of this question is not addressed by the previous hypotheses however: can life also affect macro-scale topography of Earth?s surface? Quantitatively connecting CZ processes to landscape evo- lution is a broadly studied topic (Amundson et al., 2007; Anderson et al., 2007) that even has implications for the search for extraterrestrial life. The ways that biota may, or may not, shape topography is of critical importance for extraterrestrial exploration for two very simple reasons. First, if there is a distinct topographic signature of life, then explo- 10 S. L. BRANTLEY et al .  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd ration for life beyond Earth could focus on searching for such topography. Second, topographic metrics can be remo- tely sensed. Therefore, it remains an exciting possibility that topographic evidence of life might be discerned with remote measurements. Of course, studies of life?s role in shaping both micro- and macro-topography are extensive (Brady et al., 1999; Buss et al., 2002; Vanacker et al., 2007; Bonneville et al., 2009). However, no mathematical model has been proposed to define such shaping factors (Dietrich & Perron, 2006) at least partly because the effect of biological productivity is difficult to deconvolve from factors such as temperature and precipitation (Fig. 5). Life contributes to most surface processes both directly, by modulating the chemistry and transport of sediment and solutes as described in previous hypotheses, and indirectly, by influencing the climate and atmospheric boundary conditions that regulate erosion, weathering, and sediment transport (Gabet et al., 2003; Berner et al., 2003). It seems safe to say, therefore, that this planet?s topography would be different if life on Earth had not evolved. Interestingly, however, a recent review suggests that there may not be a topographic signature of life (Dietrich & Per- ron, 2006). Nonetheless, this hypothesis must be explored further. For example, well-designed physical experiments and coupled numerical models that integrate biogeochemi- cal and hydrological processes such as those at Biosphere 2 in Arizona (Dontsova et al., 2009; Huxman et al., 2009) are needed. The connections between micro- and macro- organisms and their impact on Earth?s surfaces must be studied explicitly when testing this hypothesis: thus, obser- vations at the scale demanded by Hypotheses 1, 2, 3, and 4 must be related to observations at the larger scale demanded by Hypothesis 5. Ironically, the most difficult aspect of deciphering the role of life on topography is identifying a control experiment where life does not exist. At the field scale, attempts to under- stand chemical-weathering processes in the absence of vascu- lar plants and most organisms larger than micro-organisms are restricted to artificially designed ?sand boxes? (Gabet et al., 2006), or observing recent volcanic flows and the like. All such approaches are characterized by unique initial conditions and short temporal scales (Berner et al., 2003). The most glaring gap in our current understanding of what shapes the Earth?s surface (see Dietrich & Perron, 2006) is the lack of quantitative geomorphic transport laws necessary for landscape evolution models. In the absence of such mathe- matical models, it may be possible to set up physical (e.g. sandbox or shaking table), or numerical experiments to quan- tify how topography changes as a function of soil residence time. Experiments should be designed in concert with control experiments that are maintained abiotic. Furthermore, it may be possible to design experiments where biota are allowed to change and the consequent changes in topography are measured, providing initial tests of Hypothesis 5. PROJECTED RESPONSES OF THE CZ TO FUTURE PERTURBATIONS Hypothesis 6. The impact of climate forcing on denudation rates in natural systems can be predicted frommodels incorporating biogeochemical reaction rates and geomorphological transport laws Perhaps because of the intimate coupling among chemical, physical, and biological processes, we cannot currently project how the shape and composition of the CZ evolves over time. If we could parameterize quantitative models for the evolu- tion of natural Earth surfaces in the face of ongoing climate change, as well as other human impacts on the Earth?s surface, we could calculate how the Earth?s surface will change into the future. Some have referred to such predictions as Earth- casts (C. Paola, pers. comm.). Hypothesis 6 contends that such models can be built and parameterized based on simple laboratory and field observations and that they will be success- ful in projecting future changes, at least in natural systems that are not highly impacted by human land use. Eventually, we should be able to augment these models to also project anthropogenic impacts under different scenarios of human activity. The term ?biogeochemical? in this hypothesis is meant to include ecological phenomena that govern ecosystem responses, including community composition shifts and species that adapt to changing conditions. To parameterize numerical models, extensive work in the laboratory over the last several decades has quantified the equilibrium states and the rate behavior of mineral?water?gas 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 30 0 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 4000 5000 5000 3000 2000 1000 0 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 15 20 25 5 10 30 0 15 20 25 5 10 MA T (C ) MAT (C) MAP (mm) MAP (mm) N P P (g m ?2 ) N P P (g m ?2 ) Fig. 5 A diagram illustrating the relationship between net primary production (NPP, grams of plant matter per square meter of land area), vs. mean annual precipitation (MAP, mm year)1) and mean annual temperature (MAT, C). Individual data points are shown as black cubes. A multivariable regression model used to fit the data is illustrated as a smooth surface. Data from Lieth (1973), figure made by R. Amundson. Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 11  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd reactions and, to a lesser extent, microbiota?mineral?water reactions (White & Brantley, 1995; Palandri & Kharaka, 2004; Brantley et al., 2008; Oelkers & Schott, 2009). Significant effort is also underway to identify appropriate geomorphic transport laws (Dietrich et al., 2003). These mathematical laws express the mass flux caused by one or more processes and generally must be validated by field mea- surements. In addition to the availability of such data, many researchers are formulating numerical models to simulate CZ processes (Kang et al., 2006; Steefel, 2008; Godde?ris et al., 2009). Despite these developments, model testing against natural systems is still in its infancy and many problems remain to be resolved so that quantitative, accurate predictions can be made (White, 2008; Dixon et al., 2009). For example, upon com- parison of laboratory and field rates of mineral reactions, many researchers have discovered that laboratory rates are much faster than natural rates (Fig. 6). This observation has driven efforts to reconcile model simulations with field observations (White & Brantley, 2003; Maher et al., 2009; Zhu, 2009). In addition, geomorphological transport laws are not currently available for processes such as landslide formation, debris flows, surface wash, and glacial scour (Dietrich et al., 2003). Testing this hypothesis will require the development of new modeling approaches to allow projection from laboratory measurements to field observations for soils, sediments, and landscapes. Earthcasting approaches must allow delineation of climate variables as a function of time both in the past and forward into the future as drivers of denudation. Full coupling of climate and weathering models is currently not possible, and instead, climate model outputs must be used to drive the weathering or erosion models separately (Williams et al., 2010). A rigorous test of Hypothesis 6 will require develop- ment of new coupled models of the climate-CZ system. Another frontier in modeling is the incorporation of biotic effects such as those discussed in Hypotheses 1 through 4 (Godde?ris et al., 2009). Hypothesis 7. Rising global temperatures will increase carbon losses from the Critical Zone The Earth is warming. Average air temperatures have increased 0.13 C per decade globally (IPCC, 2007), and fivefold greater increases have been observed in the Arctic (up to 0.6 C per decade north of 62N; Polyakov et al., 2002). Projections based on six emission scenarios suggest warming could reach 1.8?4.0 C per decade by 2100 (IPCC, 2007). Positive feedbacks operating on CZ carbon pools ? both plants and soils ? have the potential to accelerate these tem- perature increases. Importantly, because most CZ processes respond to tem- perature, warming can have complex effects on the CZ carbon balance (e.g. Norby & Luo, 2004). Warming has the potential to increase decomposition of soil organic matter and the resul- tant export of dissolved organic carbon (DOC; e.g. Rustad et al., 2001; Knorr et al., 2005; Davidson & Janssens, 2006), but the extent to which this potential is realized is regulated downward by changes in composition, activity, and density of soil microbial communities and roots (e.g. Luo et al., 2001; Carney et al., 2007; Strand et al., 2008). While increases in DOC fluxes from some temperate watersheds experiencing warming have recently been identified, these increases have been attributed to decreases in sulfate deposition (Evans et al., 2006; Monteith et al., 2007). On the other hand, increased DOC export has been observed, possibly in response to warm- ing, in other regions that have historically received little atmo- spheric S deposition (Freeman et al., 2004). Finally, for the few studies where changes in soil organic carbon have been documented over time, the effects of land use change must be considered as an alternative to climate change (Bellamy et al., 2005). The net, temperature-driven change of the CZ carbon pool will represent the summation of all the net changes in individ- ual soil and plant carbon pools. Model and observational stud- Fig. 6 A plot showing how the rate of dissolution of plagioclase feldspar varies as a function of the duration of observation (plotted in years on the x-axis). Measurements of this rate in the laboratory are orders of magnitude faster than the rates estimated in natural systems. Filled symbols represent rates measured in the field that have been normalized by the surface area of the feldspar mea- sured by BET analysis. Half-filled data denote field rates corrected for geometric surface area. Open symbols represent rates measured in the laboratory for freshly ground unaltered samples; open symbols with crosses delineate labora- tory rates measured for samples that were previously weathered in the field. The dashed line is a regression fit to the data. Solid lines indicate the measured laboratory rate of dissolution of pristine or previously weathered Panola granite as a function of time. Figure revised from the original publication: references for original data as indicated by numbers are found in the original reference (White & Brantley, 2003). Many explanations have been advanced for why rates vary with duration of observation, including the effects of changing soil structure with time, changing mineral surface chemistry with time, changing chemical affinity with time, the effects of biota, inadequacies in measurement of surface area, hydrologic factors, clay precipitation effects, etc. 12 S. L. BRANTLEY et al .  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd ies of plant responses to elevated temperature tend to predict there will be an increase in net primary production (Rustad et al., 2001), but the range of responses is large and in some systems plant growth may decline with increasing tempera- ture. In addition, the effects of temperature on plant growth or NPP (see Fig. 5) result from interactions controlled by many other factors such as the partial pressure of CO2 and annual precipitation (e.g. Norby & Luo, 2004; Bradley & Pregitzer, 2007). Global feedbacks will depend on the sign and magnitude of CZ responses to warming, most of which are difficult or impossible to project for specific regions (Fig. 7). For exam- ple, decreased DOC concentrations from the Yukon have been attributed to destabilization as warming increases soil CO2 fluxes (Striegl et al., 2005). Conversely, it has been sug- gested that Siberian DOC exports will increase nonlinearly with warming (Frey & Smith, 2005). The effects of increased C export ? solid, liquid, or gas ? will depend not only on the net effect of fluxes related to the organic carbon pools but also relative to changes in C sinks such as silicate weathering (Hypothesis 8) and upon changes in discharge (Fig. 7). Fur- thermore, changes in soil erosion (Harden et al., 1999; Smith et al., 2001) will also affect organic carbon pools (Van Oost et al., 2007). Importantly, small changes in soil carbon con- tent can exert a disproportionate effect on the global C cycle because soils contain more than double the C in the atmo- sphere and vegetation combined (Bajtes, 1996; Houghton, 2007). From affordable, networked, and miniature datalogging sensor grids to coupled, remotely sensed data products, large No increase in Q C ar bo n ex po rts Time CO2 DOC Increased Q C ar bo n ex po rts Time CO2 CO2 CO2DOC Permafrost Thawing Thawing Steppe/Grasslands C ar bo n ex po rts Time DOC C ar bo n ex po rts Time DOC No increase in Q Increased Q Fig. 7 Predictions of carbon export (CO2 and DOC) under a warming climate, with and without increases in discharge. The two examples chosen are from northern latitudes which are expected to see the largest temperature increases. The difference in magnitude of the carbon exports is meant to reflect the difference in carbon storage between the regions. There are a variety of factors affecting carbon exports including those that affect net primary productivity and therefore total carbon stocks (e.g. climate, fertility, species composition) and those that affect the decomposition and export of those carbon stocks (e.g. temperature, water, substrate quality, oxygen). Base map is the UNEP ? GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library (2009). Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 13  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd data sets are now being collected that will allow us to test how ecosystem C fluxes respond to temperature and moisture changes (e.g. Baldocchi et al., 2004). Various modeling approaches are increasingly being used to model data-rich systems at single scales. In the future, powerful models will be parameterized by real-time data and compared with results from warming experiments across multiple scales. Experi- ments that manipulate temperature, moisture, nutrient, and CO2 concentrations are starting to provide insights into the sign and magnitude of potential ecosystem responses to warming. From this information we will eventually predict how carbon fluxes will respond (e.g. Fig. 7; UNEP ?GRID- Arendal Maps and Graphics Library, 2009). Necessarily, these models will be parameterized using observations over short timescales but will be used to predict longer term effects. Three interrelated research areas of great importance should be targeted: (i) analysis and modeling of CZ carbon fluxes in solid, liquid, and gases across a matrix of experimen- tally manipulated sites or in locations along natural gradients; (ii) ongoing observations on Arctic ecosystems with special focus on the greenhouse gas CH4; and (iii) multifactor experi- ments designed to identify tipping points (see Hypothesis 12) in ecosystem responses to warming. These latter experiments could allow, for example, investigation of the inter-relation- ships of temperature, moisture, ozone, and elevated CO2, or the inter-relationship of N deposition fluxes and elevated CO2. Hypothesis 8. Rising atmospheric PCO2 will increase the rates and extents of mineral weathering in soils. The accelerating rate of increase in atmospheric CO2 concen- trations (Canadell et al., 2007) is expected to impact the CZ in many ways, as discussed in the previous hypothesis. For example, elevated CO2 causes changes in plant physiology that can cause ?top-down? perturbations of the CZ. In this regard, plants are transducers that sense changes in the atmo- sphere and actuate changes in the CZ (Bradley & Pregitzer, 2007). Changes in CO2 are causing alterations in the type, distribution, respiration rates, and growth rates of plants (Ainsworth & Long, 2005; Norby et al., 2005, McMahon et al., 2010), but these effects may be species-specific (Frans- son et al., 2007), short term (Oren et al., 2001), or subject to change as elevated CO2 interacts with other global change fac- tors (Langley and Megonigal, 2010). The sum effect of all these factors on primary mineral weathering is currently unknown. However, given the discussion in Hypothesis 1 that emphasizes that plants as a source of the inorganic and organic compounds that enhance chemical weathering, we hypothe- size here that elevated CO2 will cause significant increases in the rate and extent of primary mineral weathering over much of Earth?s surface (Fig. 8). Importantly, this increase in weath- ering could furthermore feedback to alter the primary produc- tivity (Fig. 5) and could potentially impact aquatic resources downstream. Altered rates of mineral weathering could even affect the flux of solutes to drinking water (Natali et al., 2009). Soil CO2 concentrations are naturally elevated well above atmospheric concentrations due to biological activity. Ele- vated atmospheric CO2 accelerates biological activity directly by stimulating primary productivity (Ainsworth & Long, 2005; Norby et al., 2005), indirectly increasing microbial respiration and decomposition (Pendall et al., 2004; Carney et al., 2007). Increased plant and microbial respiration dictates an increase in overall soil respiration (King et al., 2004; Comstedt et al., 2006), resulting in higher soil CO2 and dissolved inorganic carbon concentrations (Andrews & Schlesinger, 2001; Karberg et al., 2005). These latter changes can then supply more protons for dissolution reactions (Godde?ris et al., 2006). Elevated atmospheric CO2 may also accelerate weathering through an increase in plant production of root exudates that contain organic acids and organic poly- phenolic compounds (see Hypothesis 1). In addition, increases in ecosystem productivity could increase the size of the sink for products of mineral dissolution. The magnitude of these responses and the responses of different ecosystems are largely unknown (Fig. 8). To investigate these many factors, a few free-air CO2 enrich- ment (FACE) studies have examined the effects of elevated CO2 on mineral weathering. Andrews & Schlesinger (2001) observed higher soil PCO2, a 271% increase in soil solution cat- ion concentration, a 162% increase in alkalinity, and a 25% increase in Si over only 2 years of elevated CO2 in soil plots located in a loblolly pine plantation in North Carolina (USA). However, a longer-term (5-year) data set from the same experiment revealed a more complex pattern, including years that showed significant effects of the treatments on soil CO2 concentrations, but no differences in chemical weathering rates (Oh et al., 2007). Elevated atmospheric CO2 has also Elevated concentration in atmosphere Increased primary productivity Increased autotrophic respiration Increased root exudation Increased heterotrophic respiration Increased soil CO2 CO2 concentration Increased mineral weathering Increased lithogenic nutrient uptake Fig. 8 Conceptual diagram for Hypothesis 8 that reflects a hypothesized rela- tionship between elevated CO2 in the atmosphere and rate and extent of min- eral weathering. Length of the arrows and size of the pools do not indicate magnitude of the response or the reservoirs, as these are largely unknown, especially in different ecosystem types. 14 S. L. BRANTLEY et al .  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd been observed to increase soil gas CO2 and dissolved inor- ganic carbon concentrations during the growing season by 14% and 22%, respectively, whereas total alkalinity increased by 210%, likely due to enhanced chemical weathering (Kar- berg et al., 2005). In addition, a significant decrease in soil pH and higher surface soil trace metal concentrations were observed with CO2 enrichment (Natali et al., 2009). These limited studies highlight the variability of responses to ele- vated CO2 and the need to study the effects across all biomes. Although some of the published studies to date provide strong indications that elevated CO2 can increase weathering rates (Karberg et al., 2005), there is no conclusive evidence in the form of increased fluxes of rock-forming elements or changes in mineral mass balance to prove this hypothesis. For example, depending on the initial soil mineralogy, an increase in PCO2 could cause the base cation content of the soil to either decline due to accelerated export (chemical denuda- tion) or remain relatively unchanged due to increased rates of mineral weathering accompanied by secondary mineral pre- cipitation. At this time we cannot project how weathering will respond to changing CO2. Small-scale mesocosm studies under con- trolled conditions and field-based elevated CO2 experiments using standardized CO2 enrichment methodologies and state of the art characterization techniques are needed. At the field scale, investigators should fully sample existing elevated CO2 studies (e.g. FACE sites) and initiate new elevated CO2 field studies that encompass the full range of ecosystem and CZ types. In addition, to predict decadal and centennial changes across landscapes will require implementing field experiments using observatories sited along environmental gradients and using models to predict chemical denudation fluxes as a func- tion of changing CO2 (e.g. Banwart et al., 2009; Godde?ris et al., 2009). Finally, Fig. 8 only emphasizes the short term impacts: we also need models that are written to incorporate how vegetation modulates or responds to the important long- term feedbacks between weathering and climate (e.g. Berner, 2006). Hypothesis 9. Riverine solute fluxes will respond to changes in climate primarily due to changes in water fluxes and secondarily through changes in biologically mediated chemical weathering Riverine export of terrestrial elements mobilized by chemical weathering, i.e. chemical denudation, is an important flux in global elemental cycles. Models have shown that weathering processes exert a negative feedback to atmospheric CO2 levels and global climate over very long timescales (Ridgwell & Zeebe, 2005; Berner, 2006). It is less clear, however, how riverine export will respond to climate change over the com- ing decades. Understanding this is critical to our ability to predict future changes in river quality, ecosystem sustainabil- ity, mobility of pollutants, and response of coastal systems to climate change. The solute export of a watershed (Fi) is calculated from the product of the river discharge (Q in m3 s)1) and the concen- tration of solute i (Ci in mol L )1). Recent studies have demonstrated that the export of weathering products scales with discharge for watersheds (Fig. 9) representing a range in climate and lithology (Raymond & Cole, 2003). Figure 9 suggests that biota exert little to no control on the decadal timescale of riverine export of weathering products. There- fore, we hypothesize that factors that alter discharge rates, namely precipitation and evapotranspiration, will be the major source of change to riverine chemical export in the coming decades. Of course, this hypothesis may in fact contradict several of the preceding hypotheses that were largely addressing obser- vations made at the scale of a pedon or smaller (e.g. Hypothe- sis 8). Perhaps, observations made at different scales lead to different conclusions. Clearly such contradictions must be investigated. Why might biota-facilitated chemical weathering play only a minor role in changing riverine fluxes? This could be because, although chemical weathering in topsoil is biolog- ically mediated, its kinetics is controlled by the interplay of several factors (White & Blum, 1995; Brantley & White, 2009). For example, concentrations of dissolved weathering products, Ci, are often diluted with increases in discharge (Q), as hydrology alters weathering regimes by changing the resi- dence time and the relative contribution from deep ground- water vs. shallow porewaters (Kirchner, 2003; Raymond et al., 2008). Watersheds rarely show an increase in the con- centration of cations during periods when a large volume of water moves through the watershed because the weathering signals are diluted by the water inputs. Nonetheless, the dilu- tion of Ci is small compared with the increase in Q during wet years, and the overall flux therefore increases with Q. One inference from such observations is that Ci in many water- sheds is always at or near the maximum in concentration as dictated by mineral solubility. Such solubility-controlled Fig. 9 Annual export of water and bicarbonate from the Mississippi River. Data are from Raymond et al. (2008) for 1900?1950. The main source of the bicarbonate is soil-weathering processes. Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 15  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd weathering has been commonly observed in watersheds domi- nated by carbonate minerals (Williams et al., 2007) or those with low precipitation (Raymond et al., 2008). It is possible that biological processes maximize weather- ing intensities so that the relative changes in concentrations of the dissolved loads in response to climate-induced changes are insignificant, especially on the century to decade time- scales. Furthermore, despite the arguments in the preceding hypothesis, although elevated PCO2 levels are commonly observed in soil atmospheres, a small rise of atmospheric CO2 may not lead to significant increases in weathering if such changes do not affect the solubility limitations of weath- ering. It may also be important to point out that biologically facilitated weathering is highest during the growing season, when discharge is typically low due to high rates of evapo- transpiration. Of course, variation in biologically mediated chemical weathering may become important in some instances such that the impact of climate change on Ci is more significant than impact on Q. The thawing and decomposition of peats in northern latitudes will expose soils with a very high weather- ing potential to solutions with DOC (Striegl et al., 2007) and may therefore show enhanced chemical denudation (see Fig. 7). Similarly, periods of low sea level during glacial peri- ods expose carbonate-rich continental shelf that are then sus- ceptible to weathering (Foster & Vance, 2006). Also, farming ? another example of a biotic process? can alter bicarbonate production and export from watersheds through processes such as liming (Hamilton et al., 2007). Recent studies have demonstrated that suburban growth and urbanization can also increase chemical denudation rates due to organic matter loading (Barnes & Raymond, 2009). The impacts of climate change on watershed-scale chemical weathering rates and denudation fluxes will undoubtedly be governed by a complex interplay between changing water delivery and alterations in stream chemistry (Ci). In most areas of the globe, however, alterations in the water budget will pre- cede large-scale land-cover changes. It is our contention that, in the short term (decades to a century), the alteration of water throughput will trump changes in biologically mediated chemical weathering. This argument is buttressed by the fact that examination of contemporary watershed data has not revealed any significant biologically driven variation on river fluxes. Data required to test this hypothesis are available due to advances in remote sensing techniques, data compilation, and real-time measurements (Raymond & Cole, 2003). For example, the US Geological Survey has discharge and riverine water chemistry data for most watersheds in the USA, with different climate, vegetation, and land use history, and these records often cover many decades. These databases allow identification of changes due to anthropogenic forcing. With such data, process-based models can be parameterized to fore- cast the response of riverine element export to climate change in the coming decade (e.g. Godde?ris et al., 2006). Such reac- tive-transport models should be linked to terrestrial ecological models to take into consideration the impacts of biological activity on water budget, C cycles, soil erodibility, and mineral dissolution. Hypothesis 10. Land use change will impact Critical Zone processes and exports more than climate change The fluxes of matter and energy from the CZ are sensitive to the effects of human activities (Vitousek et al., 1997; Yang et al., 2003; Green et al., 2004; Montgomery, 2007; Alexan- der et al., 2008), perhaps most evidently in the direct effects of road building, timber harvesting, and agriculture on erosion of the Earth?s surface (Cronin et al., 2003; Wilkinson, 2005). The evidence, which includes degraded soils, altered patterns of ecological succession, and accelerated sedimenta- tion in streams, rivers and floodplains, hails from innumerable studies of agricultural erosion, fertility loss in soils, logging, deforestation, and urban development that span a wide range of geographic settings. Human activities have modified landscapes and land-cover types over such a massive scale (Cronin et al., 2003; Barnes & Raymond, 2009) that these effects have been more important than climate effects in determining changes in CZ fluxes to date. For example, Fig. 10 shows that sediment accumulation rates increased in Chesapeake Bay (USA) coin- cident with land use changes associated with European set- tlement and farming in the watershed. Because erosion originating from agricultural lands and construction sites is often high compared to forests (Swaney et al., 1996) ? the dominant vegetation type in the absence of significant dis- turbance ? it is unlikely that climate change alone could have caused the significant increase in erosional fluxes into the Bay. Although climate change may not have been the biggest driver to date in determining changing erosion patterns, this hypothesis probes whether ongoing changes in temperature and precipitation (Canadell et al., 2007; IPCC, 2007) will be more or less important to CZ fluxes than changes in land use and cover. Human-induced land-use change has been drastic in both developed and developing regions, and is likely to stay high for decades to come if the standard of living rises in the latter localities. At the same time, the effects of climate change on the CZ will be increasing with time globally and will impact landscapes regardless of human population density for long durations of time (Yang et al., 2003). Moreover, climate change will also modulate ecosys- tem composition and CZ function in ways that will likely increase fluxes associated with chemical and physical weath- ering (Banwart et al., 2009). Rising soil temperatures and changing precipitation regimes will also shift rates and spa- tial distributions of biogeochemical processes (see Hypothe- ses 7 through 9). Understanding the relative importance of forcing due to changes in land use and climate is needed for 16 S. L. BRANTLEY et al .  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd reliable prediction of changes in ecosystem services. As discussed in Hypothesis 12, it will be important to deter- mine whether changes in climate and land use might push landscapes across tipping points into undesirable states of ecosystem function. Addressing this hypothesis will require an array of approaches from observational field studies conducted at multiple scales to the analysis of historical databases of human effects on the CZ (Walter & Merritts, 2008). By examining how land use has affected the susceptibility of the CZ to denudation in the past, we should be able to place constraints on how it will respond as human influence changes in the future. For example, analyses of sediment loadings in rivers can be related to climate fluctuations (Rossi et al., 2009), as well as to areal changes in highly erodible cultivated lands following establishment of programmatic change such as the USDA Conservation Reserve Program in 1962 (Amelung et al., 2001). Geographic information sys- tem and remote sensing technologies are now available to facilitate regional-scale assessments (Cronin et al., 2003). Moreover, there is much to learn from paleosols, which doc- ument effects of significant climate changes in the geologic past (Retallack, 1990). MANAGING THE CZ Hypothesis 11. In many severely altered settings, restoration of hydrological processes is possible in decades or less, whereas restoration of biodiversity and biogeochemical processes requires longer timescales Although advances have been made in restoring and main- taining agriculturally impacted topsoils and in restoring CZs associated with stream channels and riparian zones, less is known about how systems-level interactions influence the response of CZs to perturbations and restoration efforts. Hypothesis 11 proposes that restoring CZ function is possi- ble for degraded systems, but the timescales of restoration of the hydrologic system is faster than that of the biogeochemi- cal system (Fig. 11). A corollary to this hypothesis is the inference that restoring hydrologic pathways is a prerequisite to re-establishing biodiversity and biogeochemical processes. It is common to note that ecosystem services are altered in soils and streams as hydrological processes are changed (Daily et al., 2000; Rogers, 2006). However, we need metrics and techniques for identifying and quantifying such alterations in CZ systems so that we can learn how to reclaim, rehabilitate and restore function (Fig. 11c; Wallace, 2007; Heneghan et al., 2008). Given the complexity of inter-relationships among chemical, physical, and biological factors endemic to the CZ (Fig. 11a), process-based models for soil erosion, soil carbon evolution, water quality evolution, and the evolution of ecosystem function must be developed and tested against field data (see, for example Hypothesis 6). Such tests will extend our ability to Earthcast at the spatial and temporal scales required by natural resource managers (e.g. hectares and years). We suggest that addressing this hypothesis requires a three-stage approach. First, regionally meaningful metrics of both healthy and altered CZ systems must be developed and evaluated to ensure they are statistically robust, even in a changing environment. The choice of metrics will depend on needs of natural resource managers (namely, what they can feasibly measure), and also on the relevant CZ processes and ecosystem services in a range of disturbed landscapes. The second phase requires developing, implementing, and monitoring restoration projects to restore altered CZs. Such strategies should include: (i) taking account of past, present, and future land uses; (ii) conducting hydrological studies with attention to groundwater interactions; (iii) analysis of physical and biological properties of systems; (iv) study of how soil and water chemistry (both at the surface and at depth) influence water and soil quality (Mitsch & Jorgen- sen, 2004). These techniques will most likely include Fig. 10 Long-term sediment fluxes estimated between 1000 C.E. and 1880 C.E. and post-1880 based on sediment cores in the Chesapeake Bay. Of the 16 core sites, 10 show marked increases in sediment fluxes post-land clearance when compared with the long-term averages (Cronin et al., 2003). Figure reproduced with permission. Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 17  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd biotechnology, geo-engineering and landscaping, plantings, and species introductions. Both hydrologic fluxes and bio- geochemical processes must be monitored along with the metrics used to define healthy and altered CZ?s. Finally, both the societal and economic implications of these tech- niques must be evaluated with the help of resource manag- ers. Such a long-term approach will allow both testing of this hypothesis and the development of efficient restoration strategies. Hypothesis 12. Biogeochemical properties impart thresholds or tipping points beyond which rapid and irreversible loss of ecosystem health, function, and services can occur A dynamical system may experience a threshold or tipping point when its state is such that even a small perturbation can cause an irreversible change in the system?s functioning and properties. Ecosystems, deep ocean circulation, and earth?s climate have all been previously suggested to exhibit threshold behavior (Lenton et al., 2008). One common characteristic of systems with thresholds is that variables can be difficult or impossible to measure at the precision needed to predict changes around the threshold. Here, we hypothesize that the CZ, as a dynamical system, most likely exhibits tipping points. These thresholds are pre- sumed to be irreversible on timescales relevant to human life (decades to centuries), because, unlike in Hypothesis 11, once a tipping point is passed, restoration may not be possible to the previous state within those timescales. Although thresh- olds have been presumed to exist for the CZ, few have been precisely defined. As an example, Fig. 12 shows a CZ tipping point in which nutrient buffering collapses as fertilizer applica- tion increases beyond a threshold (Rabalais, 2002). Other CZ tipping points include thresholds for erosion by rill formation and landsliding (e.g. Favis-Mortlock, 1998). Tipping points for accelerated desertification, acidification, decline in carbon storage, collapse of nutrient buffering, or growth of harmful algal blooms could also be important (Millenium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005). Given the increasing pressures on natural systems, it is criti- cal to identify tipping points as quickly as possible. Further- more, because the tipping point concept is relatively intuitive, it is a very useful concept for both policy makers and scientists. The term ?tipping point? is now being used by both groups to describe global challenges such as climate change (Post et al., 2009; Russill & Nyssa, 2009), biodiversity losses (Pimm, 2009), and crop yields (Barley, 2009). However, policy can only be formulated appropriately if we identify where and when tipping points occur. Currently, thresholds are only rec- ognizable after passing the threshold. As a result, one current focus of research is to identify early warning signals of change and threshold behavior in ecosystems as well as effective responses to such threats (Jordan et al., 2006). Many of the coupled biological, geological and hydrolog- ical processes are well enough understood to open the way to use models to explore tipping points in regolith or soil formation. To understand the biogeochemical resilience of soils with respect to acidification, nutrient depletion, drought, and erosion, however, we need to quantify the rates and mechanisms of chemical weathering, hydrology, erosion, and biotic processes in regulating biogeochemical resilience. With such knowledge, we can use models to explore tipping points as a function of variables such as climate, lithology, and vegetation as we attempt to propose regulatory frameworks. It is furthermore crucial to examine B Progress towards specific target condition U til ity o f S E K P B C Degraded state Desired state P CB P C A Fu nc tio na lit y Fu nc tio n Degraded Objective Degraded Objective Physical environment Vegetation manipulation Complex management Structure Recl ama tion Reh abili tatio n Rest orati on C B Fig. 11 Framework for integrating soil ecological knowledge (SEK) with theo- retical models of ecosystem restoration. (a) When sites are heavily degraded, some improvement in soil function may be achieved by manipulations of either the chemical (C), physical (P), or biological (B) attributes of the soil. For greater progress toward a target condition, however, an increase in the degree of com- plex SEK is required, and there are more complex interactions among P, C, and B attributes. To achieve the desired state of restoration requires very high level understanding of P, C, and B processes. (b) Physical, biological, and manage- ment thresholds that must be overcome if restoration is to be successful. Hypothesis 11 is consistent with the likelihood of faster restoration of function- ality with respect to physical processes such as hydrologic flow and slower resto- ration of biogeochemical processes. (c) The integral relationship between structural and functional attributes in ecosystem restoration (figure reproduced with permission from Heneghan et al., 2008). 18 S. L. BRANTLEY et al .  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd how the biogeochemical resilience and tipping points of soil environments relate to ecosystem services within water- sheds. Like the other hypotheses, methods by which research priorities for Hypothesis 12 can be addressed include experi- mental watershed studies as well as smaller-scale mesocosm experiments. However, to understand tipping points also requires modeling efforts to build conceptual understanding of biogeochemical resilience, allowing for scaling from the mesocosm to the watershed to the region to the globe. Exam- ples of properties that are expected to be important in impart- ing thresholds to the CZ, and which should therefore be targeted in these studies, are listed in Table 2. Finally, the geologic record may be a source of additional understanding if we can identify tipping points that have been crossed in the past. For example, ancient soils ? paleosols ? could allow us to identify tipping points that may have been involved before, during, or after the Paleocene?Eocene ther- mal maximum (PETM). Considered an analog for future global warming, the PETM was characterized by releases of greenhouse gases that drove rapid warming of 5?9 C that resulted in alteration of terrestrial ecosystems (Wing et al., 2005; Zachos, 2005). Changes in chemical weathering related to such greenhouse episodes may reveal evidence for or against tipping points in the surface Earth system (Thiry, 2000; White et al., 2001). CONCLUSION We have advanced 12 hypotheses that can be tested concern- ing the geobiology of weathering through the use of tools and approaches available today. Interestingly, several of the hypotheses are contradictory: nonetheless, each hypothesis is thought to be defensible by at least one segment of the CZ scientist community. This suggests that even at a very basic level, we do not understand CZ function. To build understanding, new observatory initiatives are underway to investigate the CZ in a more holistic fashion. For example, in the USA, six CZ Observatories were funded since 2006. Likewise, in Europe, a group of CZ scientists has been funded as the SoilTrEC International CZO Net- work with partners in the European Union, China, and USA. This program has explicit links to the CZO program in the USA. Other researchers are similarly designing or Table 2 Variables and properties that contribute to biogeochemical tipping points in the Critical Zone Population density, land use, water allocation, and economic development within a watershed Minimum and maximum rainfall, air temperature, water table depth, and baseflow % Vegetation cover, rooting depth, and % impervious cover Regolith thickness, soil age, and maturity Acid buffering capacity, clay content, cation exchange capacity, and organic matter content Nutrient filter capacity, internal nutrient recycling, and nutrient ratios Functional and genetic diversity of microflora and microfauna Textural threshold(s) and soil aggregates Fig. 12 Hypothetical response (lower figure) in buffering of nutrients by CZ processes as anthropogenic inputs of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) via fertil- izer application are increased (upper figure). At relatively low fertilizer loadings, processes such as denitrification that eliminate or processes such as sorption or plant uptake that retain N and P can limit the export fluxes from the soil environment. Beyond a threshold in fertilizer application, however, the natural buffering capacity of the soil is exceeded and there is a rapid transfer of bioavail- able N and P to the stream network. If the export of bioavailable silicon (Si), primarily produced by chemical weathering of silicate minerals, remains con- stant, then the increase in N and P export fluxes is also accompanied by a drop in the Si:N and Si:P ratios. Both the absolute and relative changes in nutrient fluxes as the tipping point is crossed may cause significant downstream damage to in-stream ecosystems, freshwater reservoirs, and the coastal zone (Rabalais, 2002). Upper figure reproduced with permission from the Millenium Ecosystem Assessment (2005). Hypotheses on geobiology of weathering 19  2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd extending observatory networks in other countries around the world. However, observatories alone cannot test the hypotheses in this paper. Quantitative models are being developed to under- stand observatory data and these models are needed to test the hypotheses (e.g. Parton et al., 1987; Tucker & Slinger- land, 1994; Iverson & Prasad, 1998; Godde?ris et al., 2006; Yoo et al., 2007; Steefel, 2008; Banwart et al., 2009). Discrepancies between models and observations will drive improvements in our understanding of many of the important phenomena. Only with such efforts will models yield accurate ?Earthcasts? that project how the three forcing factors ? tectonism, climate, anthropogenic activity ? individually and together cause the CZ to change. Of these three forcings, anthropogenic activity could be the most important driver of CZ change into the immediate future. In other words, the largest impact of biology on weathering today may be that of humans. In turn, this impact impairs the ecosystem services and soil health that human society relies upon. Unlike the other two forcings, however, the direction of anthropogenic activity can sometimes be reversed by learning and behavioral change. In this regard, the CZ is a powerful integrating concept for both scientists and the public alike because it fosters comprehension of the inter- connectedness of water, land, air, and biota. It is perhaps reas- suring therefore that in November 2009, a Google Scholar search generated 303 000 unduplicated hits of web-pages dedicated to educating the public about foundational con- cepts in CZ science. However, the increasing use of web-deliv- ered education for the public (Hill & Hannafin, 2001) is actually a symptom of another trend that is cause for concern. In industrialized societies, children increasingly spend less time outside but more time online (Sallis et al., 2000; Nor- man et al., 2006). Without experiential learning, the dialog between natural scientists and stakeholders is limited and people increasingly experience a disconnect from the natural environment (Fischer, 2004; Rogers, 2006). Thus, just as humans have attained the status of a geological force (Vito- usek et al., 1997; Wilkinson, 2005), they ironically are disconnecting from their natural environs. Given all of these trends, the observatories and models needed by scientists to understand the CZ must also be designed to engage the public in the puzzle of how to live sustainably during the Anthropocene. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Funding from NSF EAR-0946877 is acknowledged. We also acknowledge the following people for contributions to the workshop, ?Frontiers in Exploration of the Critical Zone II: The Geobiology of Weathering and Erosion?, held 5?7 October 2009, at the Smithsonian Institution National Museum of Natural History: R. Amundson, T. Anderson, E. Barrera, T. Crowl, R. Cuenca, R. Davis, P. Glynn, K. Maher, D. McKnight, C. Monger, L. Patino, M. Pavich, C. Pilcher, E. Sztein, and N. Woodward. Special thanks to C. Samper, T. Anderson, and T. Karl of the Smithsonian Institution National Museum of Natural History. M. Hopkins, D. Lambert, and T. Bernier are acknowledged for organization and editing. L. Sanford and T. Cronin are acknowledged for help with Fig. 10. T. White is acknowledged for information concerning paleosols and C. Paola for the term, ?Earthcast- ing?. C. Anderson is acknowledged for help with figures. The manuscript benefitted from three helpful reviews and editorial handling by D. Beerling and K. Konhauser. 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