38 Wilson Bull., 115(1), 2003, pp. 38?44 DISTRIBUTION, ABUNDANCE, AND HABITAT AFFINITIES OF THE COASTAL PLAIN SWAMP SPARROW JON BEADELL,1,4 RUSSELL GREENBERG,2,5 SAM DROEGE,1 AND J. ANDREW ROYLE3 ABSTRACT.?We examined the distribution and abundance of the Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrow (Melospiza georgiana nigrescens) at previously occupied sites and points within potential habitat. We found Swamp Spar- rows throughout their formerly documented range except in southern Chesapeake Bay. Swamp Sparrows were most common in the Mullica River region of New Jersey where we detected individuals at 78% of systematically chosen points with a mean count of 4.1 birds/point. The percentages of points with positive detections in the regions of Delaware River (39%), eastern Delaware Bay (23%), western Delaware Bay (34%), and Tuckahoe River (31%) were lower. The mean count of birds/point was between 0.4 and 0.6 in these regions. A higher resolution Poisson model of relative abundance suggested that the greatest concentrations of Swamp Sparrows occurred not only in the Mullica River area but also along northwestern Delaware Bay. Regression analysis of Swamp Sparrow counts and habitat features identified shrubs (Iva frutescens and Baccharis halimifolia) as a key habitat component. By applying density estimates generated by DISTANCE (Thomas et al. 1998) to the approximate area of potential shrub habitat along Delaware Bay, we estimated that the core population of Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrows was less than 28,000 pairs. We recommend that the Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrow be listed as a subspecies of concern by state and local governments because of its relatively small population size, restricted distribution in the mid-Atlantic region, and narrow habitat requirements. Received 23 April 2002, accepted 13 November 2002. The Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrow (Melos- piza georgiana nigrescens) is one of three subspecies of Swamp Sparrow, but unlike the more common races, M. g. nigrescens is re- stricted to a small region of the Mid-Atlantic coastal bay ecosystem. Originally described from specimens collected in the Nanticoke River marshes during 1947 (Bond and Stewart 1951), M. g. nigrescens occurs only in estu- arine marshes of the upper Chesapeake and Delaware bays and in large river drainages along the Atlantic coast of New Jersey north to the tidal portions of the Hudson River (Greenberg and Droege 1990). Subsequent analysis has shown that M. g. nigrescens is morphologically distinct from all other Swamp Sparrows (Greenberg and Droege 1990). The nigrescens race is one of the few vertebrate subspecies endemic to the mid-At- 1 U.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Re- search Center, 12100 Beech Forest Rd., Laurel, MD 20708-4038, USA. 2 Migratory Bird Center, National Zoological Park, Washington, DC 20008, USA. 3 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Div. of Migratory Bird Management, Laurel, MD 20708, USA. 4 Current address: Molecular Genetics Lab., Smith- sonian Inst., 3001 Connecticut Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20008, USA. 5 Corresponding author; e-mail: antbird@erols.com lantic region, but investigations into its biol- ogy and status are lacking. Within mid-Atlantic estuaries, Swamp Sparrows (M. g. nigrescens unless otherwise noted) are restricted to an often narrow band of shrubby habitat at the interface of upland and high marsh. This habitat is particularly susceptible to recent changes such as rising sea level, ditching, impoundment, the invasion of the reed Phragmites australis, and the de- velopment of roads, farm fields, and housing tracts. Studies conducted during the late 1980s identified breeding populations of up to 70 singing males at several sites in the upper Chesapeake Bay (RG unpubl. data). Subse- quent visits to these and other sites with for- merly documented breeding populations re- vealed marked reductions of Swamp Sparrow numbers in Maryland. Given significant de- clines of similar marsh-nesting subspecies, in- cluding the Cape Sable Seaside-Sparrow (Am- modramus mirabilis; Pimm et al. 1996), Dusky Seaside-Sparrow (A. nigrescens; Sykes 1980), and San Francisco Bay Song Sparrow (Melospiza melodia spp.; Marshall and De- drick 1994), we undertook a standardized sur- vey of the Chesapeake and Delaware bays to examine the current status of Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrows. We surveyed previously occupied sites and sites within potential 39Beadell et al. x COASTAL PLAIN SWAMP SPARROW breeding habitat to evaluate range changes, characterize habitat associations, identify re- gions of potential management importance, and generate baseline population estimates. METHODS Range prior to 2000.?We obtained records from the Breeding Bird Survey (1966?1999; Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, PWRC), state Breeding Bird Atlases (Delaware, 1983? 1987; Maryland, 1983?1987; New Jersey, 1993?1997), published reports (Harlow 1907, Stone 1937, Stewart and Robbins 1958, Moore 1989, West 1993, Clapp 1997, Mc- Cann and Battin 1999, Hess et al. 2000), Maryland miniroute data, migration cards, nest records, stomach content cards (data at PWRC), specimen records (Univ. of Califor- nia, Berkeley), and amateur birders through- out the study area (see acknowledgments). We considered only records from the coastal plain between 15 May and 31 August in order to avoid taxonomic confusion between M. g. ni- grescens and migrants of other Swamp Spar- row races (Mowbray 1997). We surveyed sites previously occupied by Swamp Sparrows in order to characterize their current range more completely, but we did not include these data in regional comparisons. Survey design.?We surveyed six distinct physiogeographic regions (Chesapeake Bay, Delaware River, western Delaware Bay, east- ern Delaware Bay, Tuckahoe River, and Mul- lica River). We excluded regions in northern New Jersey and the Piedmont west of Ches- apeake Bay because morphological characters of birds in these areas fall between those of M. g. nigrescens and M. g. georgiana (Green- berg and Droege 1990; RG unpubl. data). We also excluded marshes within Blackwater Na- tional Wildlife Refuge (NWR) and the re- mainder of southeastern Chesapeake Bay be- cause at the time of this study few records existed for this region and the vast marshes would have been over represented in our sam- pling. We identified potential marsh habitat along Chesapeake Bay and its major tributaries us- ing USGS 1:24,000 topographical maps. We randomly allocated survey effort to these marsh sites proportionate to their area. To en- sure adequate coverage of northern Chesa- peake Bay, which has numerous and contin- uous records of Swamp Sparrows, we con- strained our sampling by surveying 60 marsh sites north of Annapolis and 60 to the south. Of these, only 70 were accessible. We fol- lowed a similar method to identify 18 marsh sites along the Delaware River from Wilming- ton to Philadelphia. Swamp Sparrow habitat use is poorly doc- umented. When possible, surveyors located a point within shrubby brackish habitat (Green- berg and Droege 1990) at each marsh site in order to maximize the chance of detecting a Swamp Sparrow. In cases where sites were in close proximity, surveyors located points $400 m apart to prevent counting birds twice. Along the shores of Delaware Bay, coastal marsh forms a continuous band of potential habitat. Therefore, in this area, we systemati- cally assigned points at 400-m intervals along all roads traversing marsh habitat. Droege (1990) discussed the validity of extrapolating data from roadside surveys, but in our expe- rience, roads in coastal marsh were similar to dikes or upland barriers, which were common in the managed wetlands surveyed. Along the western shore of Delaware Bay, we surveyed all accessible roadside points (n 5 176) be- tween Lewes and Delaware City. Along east- ern Delaware Bay, we surveyed every other point from the Delaware Memorial Bridge east to the confluence of the Mullica and Wad- ing rivers. Because of the geographical isola- tion of points in the Tuckahoe River (n 5 16) and Mullica River (n 5 9) areas, we consid- ered these regions to be distinct from the east- ern shore of Delaware Bay (n 5 106 points). We did not survey the extensive marshes along the Atlantic Coast because prior records do not exist for this region and spot checking revealed no evidence of Swamp Sparrows. Point counts.?We performed a single 10- min count at each point between 05:00 and 10:00 EST during periods of low wind (,29 kph) and no rain. We preferred wider sam- pling to replication since this is a more effi- cient means of reducing total variability in in- dex surveys (Link et al. 1994). We conducted the survey between 25 May and 7 July 2000, the approximate period of peak singing (RG unpubl. data). Although singing decreased as pairs began nesting, behaviors associated with nesting (e.g., chipping and mobbing) helped maintain detectability. We mapped all Swamp 40 THE WILSON BULLETIN x Vol. 115, No. 1, March 2003 Sparrows detected within a 100-m radius, re- corded substrate use when detected visually, and determined sex based on crown pattern and behavioral cues (Greenberg 1988). We used detections of Swamp Sparrows outside of the circle and outside of standard count pe- riods in order to establish a more complete geographical range, but we excluded these ob- servations from density estimates and com- parisons of relative abundance. At each sur- vey point, we estimated the percent area with- in a 100-m radius circle described by each of eight habitat categories: nonmarsh, open wa- ter, mudflat-beach, shrub, Phragmites, rush- reed-grass .0.5 m, rush-reed-grass ,0.5 m, and other. Nonmarsh included forest, paved or gravel surfaces of roads, and farm fields. Oth- er included broad-leaved emergent plants such as arrow arum (Peltandra virginica), picker- elweed (Pontederia cordata), and spatterdock (Nuphar luteum). We distinguished Phragmi- tes from other reeds because it is structurally distinct (taller) and it is an invasive species whose presence has been implicated in the de- cline of other marsh species (Benoit and As- kins 1999). Distinguishing between reeds and grasses of different heights served to grossly differentiate marshes dominated by short spe- cies such as salt-meadow grass (Spartina pat- ens) and the short form of smooth cordgrass (S. alterniflora) from marshes dominated by taller species such as the tall form of smooth cordgrass. Density.?We estimated density of Swamp Sparrows within the continuous band of hab- itat along Delaware Bay using DISTANCE (Thomas et al. 1998). Variance in counts be- tween points in other regions was too high to make meaningful predictions. DISTANCE models detection probability as a function of distance between bird and observer, thereby accounting for potential decreases in detection efficiency with increasing distance from the observer. This approach assumes that detec- tion is perfect within the smallest distance in- terval. We grouped observations into 20-m in- tervals to reduce the effects of error associated with observers? distance estimates. We used only detections of adult male birds within a 100-m circular plot to generate models for the eastern and western shores of Delaware Bay. The best model, selected using Akaike?s In- formation Criterion (Akaike 1973), incorpo- rated a uniform key function plus a cosine se- ries expansion (Buckland et al. 1993). Statistical methods.?We used SYSTAT 7.0 (SPSS 1997) to perform tests on data from randomly and systematically chosen points. Because of the nonnormal distribution of the data, we used the nonparametric Kruskal-Wal- lis test to judge regional differences in mean counts of birds. Differences were deemed sig- nificant if P , 0.05. We modeled the relation- ship between Swamp Sparrow counts and habitat variables using Poisson regression (Vincent and Haworth 1983), which is a spe- cial case of the General Linearized Model (McCullagh and Nelder 1989). We removed the covariate ??other?? from the model because habitat variables are compositional (i.e., the sum of fractional areas devoted to each habitat character is equal to one). We created a map of relative abundance us- ing a Poisson model with a spatially correlated random effect as described by Royle et al. (2001). Under this model, the correlation be- tween expected count at any two sites decreas- es as an exponential function of distance be- tween those sites. Relative abundance on the map represents the expected mean count that one would observe at a given location if suit- able habitat exists. RESULTS Distribution.?The current distribution of Swamp Sparrows matches the distribution of past breeding season records except for the absence of birds along southern Chesapeake Bay. Swamp Sparrows occurred along the shores of Delaware Bay where suitable habitat exists (Fig. 1). The population extended into marshes of the Delaware River and the large rivers along the southern Atlantic coast of New Jersey but not along the Atlantic coast of Delaware. We detected Swamp Sparrows at 78% of points (n 5 9) in the Mullica River drainage and this rate of detection was significantly higher than in any other region (Table 1; H 5 18.043, P 5 0.001). No significant differences existed among other regions (Table 1). We did not include the Chesapeake Bay region in this test because some randomly chosen marsh sites included little or no habitat even though USGS maps indicated otherwise. Detection of Swamp Sparrows in this region was low (7%, 41Beadell et al. x COASTAL PLAIN SWAMP SPARROW FIG. 1. Distribution of Coastal Plain Swamp Spar- rows observed in 2000. Closed circles represent all records of Swamp Sparrows generated during point counts or otherwise. Open circles represent sites (ran- domly chosen or previously occupied) at which Swamp Sparrows were not detected during a 10-min point count. FIG. 2. Relative abundance of Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrows showing concentrated populations in the Mullica River region and northwest Delaware Bay. Shading corresponds to the number of males predicted to be detected during a 10-min point count in the major regions of estuarine emergent and shrub-scrub wet- lands and palustrine emergent and shrub-scrub wet- lands (National Wetlands Inventory; www.nwi.fws. gov). TABLE 1. Indices of abundance of Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrows based on 10-min, 100-m radius point counts performed in 2000. Counts and detection frequencies within the Mullica River region were significantly greater than in all other regions. Region All points n % Points with positive detection Maximum count Mean count (6 SE) Points with at least one positive detection n Mean count (6 SE) Chesapeake Bay Delaware Bay (east) Delaware Bay (west) Delaware River Mullica River Tuckahoe River 70 106 176 18 9 16 7 23 34 39 78 31 3 5 5 3 11 2 0.1 6 0.1 0.5 6 0.1 0.6 6 0.1 0.6 6 0.2 4.1 6 1.3 0.4 6 0.2 5 24 60 7 7 5 1.6 6 0.8 2.2 6 0.5 1.7 6 0.2 1.6 6 0.6 5.3 6 1.6 1.4 6 0.6 0.1 birds/point, n 5 70; Table 1). We located only 8 Swamp Sparrows in Chesapeake Bay during random surveys and we found only 4 by any means south of Annapolis. Given the lack of specific habitat preference information for Swamp Sparrows, surveyors may not have conducted point counts in ap- propriate locations. Therefore, a regional com- parison of Swamp Sparrow counts at points where at least one Swamp Sparrow was de- tected (i.e., occupied points) may be a better indicator of regional differences in distribu- tion. Mean counts of birds at occupied points along the Mullica River (5.3 6 1.6 SE) were significantly higher than in all other regions (H 5 15.214, P 5 0.004; Table 1). No signif- icant differences existed among other regions. A higher resolution map of relative abun- dance generated by a Poisson model of pre- dicted counts revealed that areas of greater abundance extended farther to the mouth of Delaware Bay along the western shore com- pared to the eastern shore (Fig. 2). In addition, this model indicated that regions of high abun- dance occurred not only in the Mullica River area but also in the northwestern portion of Delaware Bay between Taylor?s Bridge, Del- aware, and Salem, New Jersey. Habitat affinity.?Counts of Swamp Spar- rows were significantly higher at plots with a greater proportion of shrub (Z 5 3.460, P , 0.001; Table 2). The presence of open water 42 THE WILSON BULLETIN x Vol. 115, No. 1, March 2003 TABLE 2. Relationship between counts of Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrows and habitat features as deter- mined by a Poisson regression model. Swamp Spar- rows were positively associated with shrubs, most commonly marsh-elder and saltbush. Habitat feature Z P Nonmarsh Water Beach-mudflats Shrub Phragmites Reed-rush-grass , 0.5 m tall Reed-rush-grass . 0.5 m tall 21.388 22.080 0.244 3.460 0.981 21.202 0.220 0.165 0.038 0.807 0.001 0.327 0.230 0.826 correlated negatively (Z 5 22.080, P 5 0.038). The percentage of Phragmites in count circles correlated positively with Swamp Sparrow abundance, but not significantly (Ta- ble 2). Visual detections of Swamp Sparrows confirmed these habitat associations. Of 42 Swamp Sparrows observed directly, 33 were found in shrubs and eight in dead or living Phragmites. Regional density and population esti- mate.?We estimated the density of male Swamp Sparrows along the eastern and west- ern shores of Delaware Bay to be about 16/ km2 (95% CI 5 10?23/km2) and 37/km2 (95% CI 5 27?53/km2), respectively. We generated these density estimates from plots where the mean percentage of unavailable habitat (roads, agricultural fields, forest) was about 20%. Ac- cording to National Wetlands Inventory defi- nitions (NWI; www.nwi.fws.gov), Swamp Sparrow habitat falls within four subclasses: estuarine persistent emergent, estuarine broad- leafed deciduous shrub-scrub, palustrine per- sistent emergent, and palustrine broad-leafed deciduous shrub-scrub. To generate a gross es- timate of the core Swamp Sparrow population, we summed the area of wetlands of these four categories along the eastern and western shores of Delaware Bay (approximately 342 km2 and 375 km2 respectively; NWI) and mul- tiplied by the density estimates above. This yielded a population estimate of 28,000 pairs, assuming a strong correlation between singing males and nesting females (Greenberg 2003). DISCUSSION We found the Coastal Plain Swamp Spar- row throughout its documented range, except along the southern Chesapeake Bay. We did not detect Swamp Sparrows along the Poto- mac River or the Patuxent River where birds had been observed only sporadically through- out the 1980s and 1990s. Similarly, we found little evidence of Swamp Sparrows at former breeding sites along the eastern shore of Ches- apeake Bay, including the extensive Nanti- coke marshes from which the type specimen originally was described. In contrast, breeding season records indicated continual occupancy along northwestern Chesapeake Bay since at least 1978. Within this region, we found small populations of Swamp Sparrows within the Patapsco River marshes south of Baltimore, in the area of Black Marsh and Hart-Miller Is- land, and in two locations on the Aberdeen Proving Ground. We found no evidence of large populations such as that observed by RG (unpubl. data) at Black Marsh during the 1970s. We found several populations of Swamp Sparrows along the Delaware River, and a census of the John Heinz NWR at Tinicum revealed 22 pairs. Harlow, observing Swamp Sparrows near Philadelphia in the early 1900s, stated that ??this species is the most abundant bird and nests in incredible numbers?? (1907: 122). It is unlikely that our numbers reflect those described in Harlow?s accounts. Swamp Sparrows appeared to be most con- centrated along the shores of Delaware Bay. Along the western shore, they occurred almost continuously from Lewes to Delaware City. The estimated density of 37 males/km2 in this region, however, was low compared to 37?100 pairs/km2 found during 1986 at Ted Harvey WMA (Moore 1989) and 125 territories/km2 found during 1975 at Prime Hook NWR (West 1993). A Delaware Natural Heritage study at Woodland Beach found 189 territories/km2 during 2000 (C. Heckscher pers. comm.). This disparity in density estimates probably is at- tributable to patchily distributed habitat and not fluctuating population sizes. We found Swamp Sparrows less frequently on the east- ern shore of Delaware Bay (15 males/km2), especially near Port Norris where previous oc- cupation was well documented. On the other hand, we found high concentrations of Swamp Sparrows in the Mullica River for which we had no prior records of occupancy. We observed Swamp Sparrows most com- 43Beadell et al. x COASTAL PLAIN SWAMP SPARROW monly at the upland edges of marsh using marsh-elder (Iva frutescens) and saltbush (Baccharis halimifolia). We also found Swamp Sparrows in buttonbush (Cephalan- thus occidentalis), red maple (Acer rubrum), and mallow (Hibiscus sp.) Dikes and roads traversing low marsh sometimes provided shrub habitat that may not have existed oth- erwise. In a few cases, we found Swamp Spar- rows using wet fields adjacent to fresh or brackish tidal marsh. Plant species from these fields included switch grass (Panicum virga- tum), plumegrass (Erianthus giganteus), sedg- es (Carex spp.), and beakrush (Rhynchospora sp.). A positive, but insignificant, correlation existed between Swamp Sparrows and Phrag- mites, a reed which forms dense, monotypic stands throughout coastal plain marshes. Male birds often used stalks as song posts and in- dividuals sometimes foraged at the base of dead stalks. Extensive, large tracts of Delaware Bay marsh are dominated by the short form of smooth cordgrass and salt-meadow grass. Though not significant, Swamp Sparrow counts correlated negatively with these short reed-rush-grasses. Canoe surveys throughout the low interior of marshes at Bombay Hook NWR and Mad Horse Wildlife Management Area corroborated this negative correlation (SD unpubl. data). Observations in the field suggested that the actual zone of suitable shrub habitat available to Swamp Sparrows typically extended only 200?400 m from the edge of the marsh-upland transition. Thus, our population estimate, which is derived from habitat estimates that include low marsh, probably is biased high. We found only 34 Swamp Sparrows within the Chesapeake Bay region; however, subse- quent searching indicates that several small populations exist in the Blackwater NWR (P. Marra pers. comm.). The extent to which the population penetrates the Pine Barrens (New Jersey) or extends north toward the Hudson River is undocumented at this time, but RG (unpubl. data) observed very few in Hudson Estuary tidal marshes. It currently is impos- sible to produce a rigorous global estimate of the Swamp Sparrow population. However, if we double our estimate of 28,000 (for the core Delaware Bay population) to 56,000 pairs to account for peripheral populations in the Chesapeake and northern New Jersey, then the Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrow population is on the same order of magnitude as that of the San Francisco region Song Sparrows (Mar- shall and Dedrick 1994), which have been designated federal subspecies of special con- cern. Swamp Sparrows occupy a narrow band of vulnerable habitat within a limited geographic area. Coastal wetlands in the states of Mary- land, Delaware, and New Jersey have declined by approximately 50% since the late 1700s (Dahl 1990) and development pressures will result in future habitat loss. In addition, the Environmental Protection Agency predicts a 50% chance that sea level will rise 58 cm at Lewes, Delaware, by 2100 (Environmental Protection Agency 1997). Rising water levels will inundate coastal wetlands and may threat- en currently preserved habitat. A listing of the Coastal Plain Swamp Sparrow with other spe- cies of concern would facilitate the develop- ment of research and management initiatives before the subspecies reaches threatened or endangered status. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We appreciate the dedication of the individuals who helped perform field surveys: R. Barber-Delach, P. Craig, D. Dawson, L. and L. Dumont, G. Hess, C. Hetzel, M. Huffman, R. Mason, J. McCann, D. Mc- Govern, J. Miller, D. Mitchell, A. Pupke, T. Reed, J. Sauer, G. Scarpulla, E. Sellers, L. Sharkey, R. She- wack, and M. Wimer. We also thank those people who provided records: H. Armistead, D. Bystrak, J. Chur- chill, P. Craig, L. Davidson, L. Davis, A. Dey, L. Du- mont, J. Gruber, B. Hartman, G. Hess, M. Iliff, J. Jan- owski, H. Laskowski, J. Lowe, J. McCann, L. Nielsen, R. Panza, J. Reese, B. Ringler, A. Rydgren, G. Scar- pulla, and J. Stasz. We are especially indebted to I. Thomas for his help in generating maps and habitat coverages in ArcInfo. M. Whitt and an anonymous ref- eree provided many helpful comments. We also thank the Maryland Ornithological Society, Defenders of Wildlife, Abbott Fund of the Smithsonian, Chesapeake Wildlife Heritage, and the Delmarva Ornithological Society for funding. LITERATURE CITED AKAIKE, H. 1973. Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. Pp. 267?281 in International symposium on information theory, 2nd ed. (B. N. Petran and F. Csaaki, Eds.). Aka- deemiai Kiadi, Budapest, Hungary. BENOIT, L. K. AND R. A. 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